TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Piotr Staniszewski
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7113111131210611
Mateusz Zagajewski
Away
1.54
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Zagajewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
7113111131210611
H2H Piotr Staniszewski 5–6 Mateusz Zagajewski Piotr Staniszewski has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:27What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Zagajewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniszewski 1339 vs Zagajewski 1381
Zagajewski
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniszewski 60% vs Zagajewski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniszewski 70% vs Zagajewski 50%
Staniszewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniszewski +3 · Zagajewski -1
Staniszewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Zagajewski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniszewski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniszewski 2.25 / Zagajewski 1.54
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Zagajewski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13161328
Staniszewski2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 51 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Zagajewski1.54
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 9 days ago (Sep 11) · back after a break
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 32 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStaniszewski5wins
AwayZagajewski5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniszewski100%5 of 5
AwayZagajewski100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniszewski5Zagajewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Staniszewski3Zagajewski7n = 10Zagajewski took 7 of 10
S3Staniszewski8Zagajewski2n = 10Staniszewski took 8 of 10
S4Staniszewski3Zagajewski6n = 9Zagajewski took 6 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaniszewskiZagajewskiS − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.335.8+2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniszewskiZagajewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 858 vs 358 / 72646.7%49.3%401 / 858 vs 358 / 726Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZagajewskiStaniszewski 2.25/Zagajewski 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.2%
Zagajewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zagajewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski4311811133M. Zagajewski356117111
WSep 6 · 03:20P. Staniszewski54119119143M. Zagajewski44611411122
LAug 30 · 10:05P. Staniszewski28761141M. Zagajewski3911116113
LAug 30 · 06:00P. Staniszewski34911951M. Zagajewski4111811113
LAug 2 · 11:45P. Staniszewski32661191M. Zagajewski3711114113
WMar 27 · 20:05P. Staniszewski47151011113M. Zagajewski411312791
WJan 23 · 06:50P. Staniszewski4211119113M. Zagajewski29961131
LJan 23 · 04:20P. Staniszewski391181191M. Zagajewski4013115113
LJul 25 · 11:20P. Staniszewski311171121M. Zagajewski3913114113
WJul 25 · 07:30P. Staniszewski331111113M. Zagajewski133640
P. Staniszewski10
WSep 20 · 04:00K. Kufel1.617540P. Staniszewski2.201111113WSep 20 · 24:35P. Staniszewski1.57111189133A. Eliasz2.20821111112WSep 19 · 23:45P. Krukar1.76911361P. Staniszewski1.9511911113WSep 19 · 22:35P. Staniszewski1.7591114123W. Gluszek1.9011312101LSep 19 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.0511119113P. Staniszewski1.68791191LSep 13 · 14:20M. Lukaszewski1.851112113P. Staniszewski1.8041080WSep 13 · 13:30M. Piecowski2.196760P. Staniszewski1.551111113WSep 13 · 11:25M. Sinicki1.9078141192P. Staniszewski1.761111127113WSep 13 · 10:35A. Eliasz2.2551112982P. Staniszewski1.571191011113LSep 13 · 09:00B. Wisniewski2.0581111133P. Staniszewski1.631156111
M. Zagajewski10
LSep 20 · 04:50M. Misiak1.8011116113M. Zagajewski1.90961181LSep 11 · 14:40B. Sulkowski1.8011114113M. Zagajewski1.86681171WSep 11 · 13:30M. Zagajewski1.9511711113B. Czerwinski1.75811681LSep 11 · 12:15B. Mleczko1.6912111111143M. Zagajewski1.96147713122WSep 11 · 11:00M. Misiak1.801166101M. Zagajewski1.8691111123WSep 11 · 09:25R. Stapor1.7613129892M. Zagajewski1.9011101111113WSep 11 · 08:10M. Zagajewski1.528111011113B. Wisniewski2.3711812992WSep 11 · 06:30M. Trela1.857101181M. Zagajewski1.8011128113LSep 11 · 05:40M. Misiak1.80121211113M. Zagajewski1.861014771LSep 11 · 04:55M. Zagajewski1.95119871R. Stapor1.7061111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Staniszewski
M. Zagajewski
Sep 20 · 06:00M. Zagajewski1.74I. Dabrowski1.95—Sep 20 · 07:15M. Zagajewski1.54M. Lukaszewski2.25—Sep 20 · 08:30M. Zagajewski2.10K. Kufel1.66—Sep 20 · 09:45M. Zagajewski2.10K. Kufel1.66—Sep 20 · 10:30M. Zagajewski1.46M. Lukaszewski2.26—Sep 20 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.66M. Misiak1.89—Sep 20 · 13:50M. Zagajewski—P. Maruszak——
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