TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13159427
Played Sep 20Finished
Piotr Staniszewski
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181128119111311
Adrian Eliasz
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:01 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timePiotr Staniszewski to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
1181128119111311
H2H Piotr Staniszewski 9–10 Adrian Eliasz Piotr Staniszewski has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:01What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Staniszewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniszewski 1329 vs Eliasz 1289
Staniszewski
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniszewski 60% vs Eliasz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniszewski 60% vs Eliasz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniszewski +2 · Eliasz +3
Eliasz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Staniszewski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Eliasz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniszewski 1.57 / Eliasz 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Staniszewski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13159427
Staniszewski1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 73 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it83% 60 of 72
Eliasz2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 69 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back19% 24 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStaniszewski7wins
AwayEliasz3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStaniszewski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniszewski83.3%5 of 6
AwayEliasz50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniszewski6Eliasz4n = 10Staniszewski took 6 of 10
S2Staniszewski5Eliasz5n = 10split evenly
S3Staniszewski6Eliasz4n = 10Staniszewski took 6 of 10
S4Staniszewski7Eliasz2n = 9Staniszewski took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaniszewskiEliaszS − EBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.738.1+2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniszewskiEliaszBasisWin rate · lifetime400 / 857 vs 341 / 91146.7%37.4%400 / 857 vs 341 / 911Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaniszewskiStaniszewski 1.57/Eliasz 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Staniszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Staniszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 10:35P. Staniszewski521191011113A. Eliasz4551112982
LSep 13 · 07:20P. Staniszewski408811131A. Eliasz4511118153
WMar 22 · 14:30P. Staniszewski4691311133A. Eliasz4211119111
WMar 22 · 01:15P. Staniszewski4471115113A. Eliasz371151381
WMar 21 · 22:50P. Staniszewski3811511113A. Eliasz38911991
LMar 15 · 15:40P. Staniszewski32591171A. Eliasz4011117113
WMar 13 · 17:45P. Staniszewski331111113A. Eliasz279990
WMar 8 · 01:40P. Staniszewski3811115113A. Eliasz33871171
WMar 7 · 23:15P. Staniszewski4211119113A. Eliasz31691151
LFeb 15 · 10:00P. Staniszewski4211781152A. Eliasz43311117113
P. Staniszewski10
WSep 19 · 23:45P. Krukar1.76911361P. Staniszewski1.9511911113WSep 19 · 22:35P. Staniszewski1.7591114123W. Gluszek1.9011312101LSep 19 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.0511119113P. Staniszewski1.68791191LSep 13 · 14:20M. Lukaszewski1.851112113P. Staniszewski1.8041080WSep 13 · 13:30M. Piecowski2.196760P. Staniszewski1.551111113WSep 13 · 11:25M. Sinicki1.9078141192P. Staniszewski1.761111127113WSep 13 · 10:35A. Eliasz2.2551112982P. Staniszewski1.571191011113LSep 13 · 09:00B. Wisniewski2.0581111133P. Staniszewski1.631156111WSep 13 · 08:10B. Wisniewski2.0510340P. Staniszewski1.631211113LSep 13 · 07:20A. Eliasz2.1511118153P. Staniszewski1.628811131
A. Eliasz10
WSep 19 · 22:55P. Krukar1.73912871A. Eliasz1.98111011113WSep 19 · 22:15W. Gluszek1.90125751A. Eliasz1.80101111113WSep 19 · 21:30D. Kotwica1.66119851A. Eliasz2.0091111113LSep 19 · 20:05A. Eliasz—11711162A. Pilch—311311113LSep 19 · 18:30A. Mugowski1.5761111113A. Eliasz2.20114891WSep 19 · 17:45W. Gluszek1.786640A. Eliasz1.931111113WSep 19 · 16:55A. Eliasz1.87116137113D. Kotwica1.83911111192WSep 19 · 15:50A. Eliasz2.85111111113P. Krukar1.36136871LSep 13 · 10:35A. Eliasz2.2551112982P. Staniszewski1.571191011113WSep 13 · 07:20A. Eliasz2.1511118153P. Staniszewski1.628811131
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