TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13159439
Played Sep 19Finished
Wojciech Gluszek
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210511711511––
Adrian Eliasz
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeWojciech Gluszek to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
1210511711511––
H2H Wojciech Gluszek 33–18 Adrian Eliasz Adrian Eliasz has won 18 of their 51 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Eliasz beat Gluszek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:59What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Eliasz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-18 in 51
Gluszek
Wrong
gap of 15 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gluszek 1163 vs Eliasz 1263
Eliasz
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gluszek 40% vs Eliasz 60%
Eliasz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gluszek 40% vs Eliasz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gluszek +1 · Eliasz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Eliasz) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGluszek 1.90 / Eliasz 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Eliasz)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13159439
Gluszek1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 106 of 305
Down 0–1, comes back17% 31 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 113
Eliasz1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite51% won 48 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it61% 31 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGluszek6wins
AwayEliasz4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGluszek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGluszek100%5 of 5
AwayEliasz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gluszek5Eliasz5n = 10split evenly
S2Gluszek6Eliasz4n = 10Gluszek took 6 of 10
S3Gluszek5Eliasz5n = 10split evenly
S4Gluszek3Eliasz3n = 6split evenly
S5Gluszek2Eliasz1n = 3Gluszek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGluszekEliaszG − EBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.436.8+1.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGluszekEliaszBasisWin rate · lifetime839 / 1779 vs 339 / 90947.2%37.3%839 / 1779 vs 339 / 909Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EliaszGluszek 1.90/Eliasz 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Eliasz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Eliasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 17:45W. Gluszek166640A. Eliasz331111113
LAug 21 · 22:15W. Gluszek311011371A. Eliasz4012611113
WAug 21 · 17:45W. Gluszek48111196113A. Eliasz3793111132
WAug 19 · 24:35W. Gluszek4311912113A. Eliasz338111041
LAug 18 · 18:30W. Gluszek246990A. Eliasz331111113
LAug 4 · 24:35W. Gluszek518111111102A. Eliasz52111397123
WJun 11 · 16:45W. Gluszek50111115133A. Eliasz447917111
WApr 16 · 19:40W. Gluszek331111113A. Eliasz248790
WMar 14 · 18:20W. Gluszek331111113A. Eliasz269980
WFeb 17 · 16:50W. Gluszek559141110113A. Eliasz46111261252
W. Gluszek10
LSep 19 · 23:20D. Kotwica1.90111113113W. Gluszek1.801361191LSep 19 · 22:35P. Staniszewski1.7591114123W. Gluszek1.9011312101WSep 19 · 21:05P. Krukar1.381011611102W. Gluszek2.60126112123LSep 19 · 20:30W. Gluszek1.83118971D. Kotwica1.8381111113WSep 19 · 18:55W. Gluszek2.90691111113P. Krukar1.3511115662LSep 19 · 17:45W. Gluszek1.786640A. Eliasz1.931111113LSep 19 · 16:15W. Gluszek2.256450A. Mugowski1.571111113WSep 19 · 15:00W. Gluszek—11811113A. Pilch—911951WSep 17 · 24:10M. Skorski1.8611101271W. Gluszek1.80131210113LSep 16 · 23:45W. Gluszek1.7399130K. Golaszewski1.981111153
A. Eliasz10
WSep 19 · 22:55P. Krukar1.73912871A. Eliasz1.98111011113WSep 19 · 21:30D. Kotwica1.66119851A. Eliasz2.0091111113LSep 19 · 20:05A. Eliasz—11711162A. Pilch—311311113LSep 19 · 18:30A. Mugowski1.5761111113A. Eliasz2.20114891WSep 19 · 17:45W. Gluszek1.786640A. Eliasz1.931111113WSep 19 · 16:55A. Eliasz1.87116137113D. Kotwica1.83911111192WSep 19 · 15:50A. Eliasz2.85111111113P. Krukar1.36136871LSep 19 · 24:10A. Eliasz2.35121191092K. Klocek1.501061112113LSep 18 · 23:20A. Eliasz2.0011105101M. Skorski1.7191211123WSep 18 · 21:55A. Eliasz—1115311113A. Pilch—413111392
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.