TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Piotr Staniszewski
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7117111191113––
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Staniszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
7117111191113––
H2H Piotr Staniszewski 13–13 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Dead even across their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:49What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lukaszewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-13 in 26
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniszewski 1345 vs Lukaszewski 1398
Lukaszewski
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniszewski 80% vs Lukaszewski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniszewski 70% vs Lukaszewski 50%
Staniszewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniszewski +1 · Lukaszewski +4
Lukaszewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lukaszewski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniszewski 1.85 / Lukaszewski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lukaszewski)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13161318
Staniszewski1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 52 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Lukaszewski1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 93 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it82% 74 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStaniszewski4wins
AwayLukaszewski6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLukaszewski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniszewski100%4 of 4
AwayLukaszewski100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniszewski4Lukaszewski6n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S2Staniszewski6Lukaszewski4n = 10Staniszewski took 6 of 10
S3Staniszewski6Lukaszewski4n = 10Staniszewski took 6 of 10
S4Staniszewski4Lukaszewski3n = 7Staniszewski took 4 of 7
S5Staniszewski1Lukaszewski4n = 5Lukaszewski took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaniszewskiLukaszewskiS − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.939.8+1.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniszewskiLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 858 vs 904 / 198946.7%45.5%401 / 858 vs 904 / 1989Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukaszewskiStaniszewski 1.85/Lukaszewski 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lukaszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 14:20P. Staniszewski2241080M. Lukaszewski341112113
LAug 2 · 03:25P. Staniszewski49811101192M. Lukaszewski50119127113
LJul 11 · 01:25P. Staniszewski33611881M. Lukaszewski3611311113
WJul 10 · 22:55P. Staniszewski48119116113M. Lukaszewski3981151142
LMay 3 · 06:05P. Staniszewski4691111962M. Lukaszewski49117911113
WMar 27 · 08:15P. Staniszewski331111113M. Lukaszewski227780
WMar 27 · 05:35P. Staniszewski46111012133M. Lukaszewski4291210111
WMar 13 · 08:30P. Staniszewski341111123M. Lukaszewski2688100
LMar 13 · 06:00P. Staniszewski49714101172M. Lukaszewski531112127113
LMar 1 · 13:10P. Staniszewski4999121182M. Lukaszewski471111104113
P. Staniszewski10
WSep 20 · 07:40P. Staniszewski2.00111179113I. Dabrowski1.7076111182WSep 20 · 04:00K. Kufel1.617540P. Staniszewski2.201111113LSep 20 · 03:20P. Staniszewski2.2573111262M. Zagajewski1.541111310113WSep 20 · 24:35P. Staniszewski1.57111189133A. Eliasz2.20821111112WSep 19 · 23:45P. Krukar1.76911361P. Staniszewski1.9511911113WSep 19 · 22:35P. Staniszewski1.7591114123W. Gluszek1.9011312101LSep 19 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.0511119113P. Staniszewski1.68791191LSep 13 · 14:20M. Lukaszewski1.851112113P. Staniszewski1.8041080WSep 13 · 13:30M. Piecowski2.196760P. Staniszewski1.551111113WSep 13 · 11:25M. Sinicki1.9078141192P. Staniszewski1.761111127113
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 20 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.85711121142M. Lukaszewski1.80116146113WSep 20 · 03:00K. Kufel1.408580M. Lukaszewski2.751111113WSep 19 · 01:30M. Woskowicz1.671115891M. Lukaszewski2.1061711113WSep 18 · 23:55P. Blocho1.40111171162M. Lukaszewski2.75137116113LSep 18 · 23:15K. Staszczyk1.2011118113M. Lukaszewski4.33461161LSep 18 · 22:30B. Sulkowski1.6711127113M. Lukaszewski2.105101171LSep 17 · 23:20M. Kolek1.281310711113M. Lukaszewski3.50111211462LSep 17 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.22671111113M. Lukaszewski4.0011118352WSep 17 · 22:10M. Lukaszewski1.80115911113A. Mugowski1.9181111672WSep 13 · 14:20M. Lukaszewski1.851112113P. Staniszewski1.8041080
Upcoming Matches
P. Staniszewski
Nothing scheduled
M. Lukaszewski
Sep 20 · 07:15M. Lukaszewski2.20M. Zagajewski1.62—Sep 20 · 08:05M. Lukaszewski2.10M. Misiak1.60—Sep 20 · 09:00M. Lukaszewski2.20I. Dabrowski1.57—Sep 20 · 10:30M. Lukaszewski2.25M. Zagajewski1.54—Sep 20 · 11:20M. Lukaszewski2.20P. Maruszak1.60—Sep 20 · 13:25M. Lukaszewski2.12M. Misiak1.52—Sep 20 · 14:15M. Lukaszewski2.65K. Kufel1.32—
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