TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Piotr Maruszak
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141171311––––
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Maruszak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1141171311––––
H2H Piotr Maruszak 2–2 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:49What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Maruszak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maruszak 1311 vs Lukaszewski 1392
Lukaszewski
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maruszak 20% vs Lukaszewski 60%
Lukaszewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maruszak 20% vs Lukaszewski 60%
Lukaszewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maruszak +1 · Lukaszewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maruszak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maruszak form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaruszak 1.75 / Lukaszewski 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Maruszak)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13160249
Maruszak1.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 30 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Lukaszewski1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 257 of 631
Down 0–1, comes back14% 48 of 346
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMaruszak2wins
AwayLukaszewski2wins
4 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 4 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaruszakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLukaszewski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maruszak1Lukaszewski3n = 4Lukaszewski took 3 of 4
S2Maruszak3Lukaszewski1n = 4Maruszak took 3 of 4
S3Maruszak2Lukaszewski2n = 4split evenly
S4Maruszak2Lukaszewski2n = 4split evenly
S5Maruszak2Lukaszewski2n = 4split evenly
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMaruszakLukaszewskiM − LBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match47.849.2−1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaruszakLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 509 vs 905 / 199147%45.5%239 / 509 vs 905 / 1991Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaruszakMaruszak 1.75/Lukaszewski 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Maruszak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Maruszak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LDec 20 · 04:05P. Maruszak4231361192M. Lukaszewski531111119113
WSep 11 · 23:20P. Maruszak49951311113M. Lukaszewski51111111992
LSep 11 · 21:00P. Maruszak5112138992M. Lukaszewski5410111111113
WSep 11 · 18:30P. Maruszak49711119113M. Lukaszewski3911751152
P. Maruszak10
LSep 20 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.959630M. Zagajewski1.741111113LSep 20 · 12:35P. Maruszak2.25561131K. Kufel1.5411115113WSep 20 · 10:05I. Dabrowski1.86751181P. Maruszak1.8311118113LSep 20 · 09:20P. Maruszak1.8591161162M. Misiak1.85117116113LSep 20 · 24:10M. Woskowicz1.8311611113P. Maruszak1.83911451LSep 19 · 23:45P. Maruszak1.913530A. Pilch1.801111113LSep 19 · 22:55P. Maruszak1.73871141A. Mugowski2.0011117113WSep 19 · 21:00P. Maruszak1.8311133113B. Sulkowski1.838111181LSep 19 · 19:40A. Wos1.44121156113P. Maruszak2.63106111162LSep 19 · 18:50B. Sulkowski1.8311117113P. Maruszak1.83981151
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 20 · 13:25M. Misiak1.601111113M. Lukaszewski2.108340WSep 20 · 10:30M. Zagajewski1.7069110M. Lukaszewski2.001111133LSep 20 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.63131367113M. Lukaszewski2.151111111152WSep 20 · 08:05M. Misiak1.6077111172M. Lukaszewski2.10111159113LSep 20 · 07:15M. Zagajewski1.6211711113M. Lukaszewski2.20611971WSep 20 · 05:15P. Staniszewski1.857711111M. Lukaszewski1.8011119133WSep 20 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.85711121142M. Lukaszewski1.80116146113WSep 20 · 03:00K. Kufel1.408580M. Lukaszewski2.751111113WSep 19 · 01:30M. Woskowicz1.671115891M. Lukaszewski2.1061711113WSep 18 · 23:55P. Blocho1.40111171162M. Lukaszewski2.75137116113
Upcoming Matches
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