TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13157697
Played Sep 19Finished
Michal Durda
Home
1.04
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119116811511511
Mariusz Zwolinski
Away
6.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:26 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeMariusz Zwolinski to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
119116811511511
H2H Michal Durda 0–1 Mariusz Zwolinski Michal Durda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:26What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (85%)
Durda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Durda 1409 vs Zwolinski 1250
Durda
Wrong
both rated, 160 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Durda 40% vs Zwolinski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Durda 50% vs Zwolinski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Durda -2 · Zwolinski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Durda) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zwolinski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (17%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDurda 1.04 / Zwolinski 6.00
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Durda)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13157697
Durda1.04
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As favourite75% won 187 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it97% 95 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it90% 133 of 148
Zwolinski6.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 47 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back18% 17 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDurda0wins
AwayZwolinski1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderZwolinski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDurdaZwolinskiD − ZBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.048.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDurdaZwolinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 269 vs 134 / 36875.1%36.4%202 / 269 vs 134 / 368Avg sets wonper match2.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurdaDurda 1.04/Zwolinski 6.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
88%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zwolinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 19 · 03:50M. Durda4011411772M. Zwolinski48611911113
M. Durda10
LSep 19 · 13:05M. Durda1.03116101152W. Suchecki6.20611126113LSep 19 · 11:50M. Durda1.047511101D. Poloszczanski6.0011119123WSep 19 · 10:10M. Durda1.06116711123J. Rolak5.96811119102LSep 19 · 09:00M. Durda1.144970A. Szoltysek5.001111113WSep 19 · 07:40B. Wisniewski5.501111101012M. Durda1.10871212113LSep 19 · 06:55W. Suchecki6.3013115113M. Durda1.031191141WSep 19 · 06:05M. Durda1.103J. Rolak5.401WSep 19 · 04:30M. Durda1.051112113A. Szoltysek5.6571090LSep 19 · 03:50M. Zwolinski6.10611911113M. Durda1.0311411772WSep 15 · 17:05L. Oracz2.205740M. Durda1.601111113
M. Zwolinski10
LSep 19 · 13:30M. Zwolinski1.9011971192A. Szoltysek1.75811118113LSep 19 · 12:15W. Suchecki1.859111113113M. Zwolinski1.80111361162WSep 19 · 11:00D. Poloszczanski1.86810111132M. Zwolinski1.80111256113WSep 19 · 09:25J. Rolak1.85811891M. Zwolinski1.8511911113LSep 19 · 08:10M. Zwolinski2.0581151142A. Szoltysek1.66115118113LSep 19 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.90611147133M. Zwolinski1.801191211112LSep 19 · 05:40W. Suchecki1.8581113113M. Zwolinski1.851161151WSep 19 · 04:55M. Zwolinski1.836101111113J. Rolak1.8611126652WSep 19 · 03:50M. Zwolinski6.10611911113M. Durda1.0311411772LSep 16 · 14:20B. Czerwinski1.25118811113M. Zwolinski3.4581111582
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