TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13157707
Played Sep 19Finished
Michal Durda
Home
1.03
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1166111012116511
Waclaw Suchecki
Away
6.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWaclaw Suchecki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
1166111012116511
H2H Michal Durda 0–1 Waclaw Suchecki Michal Durda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Suchecki beat Durda 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:29What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.03 (86%)
Durda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Durda 1428 vs Suchecki 1190
Durda
Wrong
both rated, 238 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Durda 40% vs Suchecki 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Durda 50% vs Suchecki 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Durda -1 · Suchecki +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Durda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Suchecki form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (16%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDurda 1.03 / Suchecki 6.20
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Durda)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13157707
Durda1.03
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As favourite75% won 187 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it97% 95 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it90% 133 of 148
Suchecki6.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 31 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDurda0wins
AwaySuchecki1wins
Suchecki leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDurdaSucheckiD − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.040.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDurdaSucheckiBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 268 vs 120 / 32175.4%37.4%202 / 268 vs 120 / 321Avg sets wonper match2.51.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.635.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurdaDurda 1.03/Suchecki 6.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
88.6%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Suchecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 19 · 06:55M. Durda351191141W. Suchecki4013115113
M. Durda10
LSep 19 · 11:50M. Durda1.047511101D. Poloszczanski6.0011119123WSep 19 · 10:10M. Durda1.06116711123J. Rolak5.96811119102LSep 19 · 09:00M. Durda1.144970A. Szoltysek5.001111113WSep 19 · 07:40B. Wisniewski5.501111101012M. Durda1.10871212113LSep 19 · 06:55W. Suchecki6.3013115113M. Durda1.031191141WSep 19 · 06:05M. Durda1.103J. Rolak5.401WSep 19 · 04:30M. Durda1.051112113A. Szoltysek5.6571090LSep 19 · 03:50M. Zwolinski6.10611911113M. Durda1.0311411772WSep 15 · 17:05L. Oracz2.205740M. Durda1.601111113LSep 15 · 15:55M. Durda1.2811149792K. Jablonski3.408121111113
W. Suchecki10
LSep 19 · 13:55J. Rolak1.801111113W. Suchecki1.866350WSep 19 · 12:15W. Suchecki1.859111113113M. Zwolinski1.80111361162LSep 19 · 10:35W. Suchecki2.15174371A. Szoltysek1.60151111113LSep 19 · 09:50D. Poloszczanski1.8215711123W. Suchecki1.8813119101LSep 19 · 08:35W. Suchecki1.9558111272J. Rolak1.761111810113WSep 19 · 06:55W. Suchecki6.3013115113M. Durda1.031191141WSep 19 · 05:40W. Suchecki1.8581113113M. Zwolinski1.851161151LSep 19 · 04:10W. Suchecki2.103460B. Wisniewski1.661111113WSep 19 · 03:00W. Suchecki2.20117711113A. Szoltysek1.6091111872LSep 17 · 13:55W. Suchecki2.8516711101R. Stapor1.3418118123
Upcoming Matches
M. Durda
W. Suchecki
Nothing scheduled
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