TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Mariusz Zwolinski
Home
2.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411611911––––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeMariusz Zwolinski to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
411611911––––
H2H Mariusz Zwolinski 2–3 Rafal Stapor Mariusz Zwolinski has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:18What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zwolinski 1268 vs Stapor 1425
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zwolinski 40% vs Stapor 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zwolinski 40% vs Stapor 20%
Zwolinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zwolinski -1 · Stapor +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (40%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZwolinski 2.85 / Stapor 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Stapor)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13165970
Zwolinski2.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 49 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Stapor1.36
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 386 of 618
Up 2–0, closes it96% 194 of 203
Up 1–0, closes it81% 294 of 365
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeZwolinski2wins
AwayStapor3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderStapor leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZwolinski66.7%2 of 3
AwayStaporn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zwolinski3Stapor2n = 5Zwolinski took 3 of 5
S2Zwolinski2Stapor3n = 5Stapor took 3 of 5
S3Zwolinski2Stapor3n = 5Stapor took 3 of 5
S4Zwolinski1Stapor3n = 4Stapor took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricZwolinskiStaporZ − SBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match38.239.2−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZwolinskiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 371 vs 681 / 121036.7%56.3%136 / 371 vs 681 / 1210Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporZwolinski 2.85/Stapor 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 16 · 11:25M. Zwolinski521110119113R. Stapor3561221142
WSep 16 · 06:55M. Zwolinski4414117123R. Stapor4112811101
LSep 2 · 13:30M. Zwolinski301110631R. Stapor4061211113
LAug 19 · 11:00M. Zwolinski44511116112R. Stapor47114811133
LMar 1 · 15:40M. Zwolinski213990R. Stapor331111113
M. Zwolinski10
LSep 21 · 04:10M. Zwolinski1.839690B. Wisniewski1.871111113WSep 21 · 03:00M. Zwolinski2.101111143M. Lukaszewski1.6084120WSep 19 · 14:40M. Durda1.0411118552M. Zwolinski6.00961111113LSep 19 · 13:30M. Zwolinski1.9011971192A. Szoltysek1.75811118113LSep 19 · 12:15W. Suchecki1.859111113113M. Zwolinski1.80111361162WSep 19 · 11:00D. Poloszczanski1.86810111132M. Zwolinski1.80111256113WSep 19 · 09:25J. Rolak1.85811891M. Zwolinski1.8511911113LSep 19 · 08:10M. Zwolinski2.0581151142A. Szoltysek1.66115118113LSep 19 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.90611147133M. Zwolinski1.801191211112LSep 19 · 05:40W. Suchecki1.8581113113M. Zwolinski1.851161151
R. Stapor10
WSep 21 · 06:30B. Wisniewski2.809780R. Stapor1.361111113WSep 21 · 04:55R. Stapor1.751111113F. Krcil1.906590LSep 21 · 03:50R. Stapor2.20411761A. Sobel1.5711611113LSep 20 · 14:35A. Wos1.5311911123R. Stapor2.388117101WSep 20 · 13:20R. Stapor1.83151111113M. Minda1.83178841LSep 20 · 12:05R. Chrzescian1.3361111113R. Stapor3.25118481LSep 20 · 10:50G. Kesik2.001111113R. Stapor1.733980LSep 20 · 09:20M. Woskowicz2.20511617113R. Stapor1.61116111522LSep 20 · 07:45R. Stapor3.509680G. Poliniewicz1.281111113LSep 20 · 06:30R. Stapor1.91116931M. Minda1.8061111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Zwolinski
Sep 21 · 06:55M. Zwolinski3.70A. Sobel1.16—Sep 21 · 08:35M. Zwolinski2.25F. Krcil1.57—Sep 21 · 09:25M. Zwolinski3.45P. Blocho1.19—Sep 21 · 10:10M. Zwolinski3.55A. Sobel1.18—Sep 21 · 11:25M. Zwolinski3.95B. Czerwinski1.14—Sep 21 · 12:40M. Zwolinski4.00D. Solilo1.14—Sep 21 · 13:55M. Zwolinski2.21F. Krcil1.48—
R. Stapor
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