TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Home
2.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711811––––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:17 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
911711811––––
H2H Bartlomiej Wisniewski 10–29 Rafal Stapor Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 10 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-29 in 39
Stapor
Correct
gap of 19 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1281 vs Stapor 1443
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 60% vs Stapor 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 50% vs Stapor 30%
Wisniewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski +2 · Stapor +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.80 / Stapor 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Stapor)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13166873
Wisniewski2.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 162 of 443
Down 0–1, comes back15% 39 of 258
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 138
Stapor1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 386 of 618
Up 2–0, closes it96% 194 of 203
Up 1–0, closes it81% 294 of 365
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski2wins
AwayStapor8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStapor100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski2Stapor8n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S2Wisniewski3Stapor7n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10
S3Wisniewski3Stapor7n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10
S4Wisniewski3Stapor3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiStaporW − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.737.6−7.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime895 / 1885 vs 683 / 121247.5%56.4%895 / 1885 vs 683 / 1212Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporWisniewski 2.80/Stapor 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.7%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 06:30B. Wisniewski249780R. Stapor331111113
LSep 18 · 06:30B. Wisniewski29491151R. Stapor4211119113
LSep 17 · 07:20B. Wisniewski4239111182R. Stapor49111197113
WSep 15 · 03:25B. Wisniewski43111011113R. Stapor31912641
LSep 14 · 07:40B. Wisniewski2361070R. Stapor341112113
WSep 11 · 07:20B. Wisniewski3811113133R. Stapor398911111
LJul 18 · 11:50B. Wisniewski351111491R. Stapor4313811113
LJul 13 · 20:05B. Wisniewski187560R. Stapor331111113
LJun 16 · 15:00B. Wisniewski25411551R. Stapor3911611113
LJun 3 · 10:55B. Wisniewski206590R. Stapor331111113
B. Wisniewski10
WSep 21 · 05:15B. Wisniewski1.951211143M. Lukaszewski1.75108120WSep 21 · 04:10M. Zwolinski1.839690B. Wisniewski1.871111113LSep 21 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.15861151F. Krcil1.5511116113WSep 20 · 14:40B. Wisniewski1.8314128123A. Eliasz1.86121011101LSep 20 · 13:05B. Wisniewski1.865890D. Poloszczanski1.801111113LSep 20 · 11:50B. Wisniewski5.0011971162J. Pruszkowski1.12911117113LSep 20 · 10:10B. Wisniewski2.106990M. Sinicki1.661111113LSep 20 · 09:00B. Wisniewski1.9551191192M. Skorski1.74119118113WSep 20 · 08:10B. Wisniewski3.101011715113J. Pruszkowski1.33127111382WSep 20 · 06:30M. Skorski1.80111161172B. Wisniewski1.90135114113
R. Stapor10
WSep 21 · 05:40M. Zwolinski2.854690R. Stapor1.361111113WSep 21 · 04:55R. Stapor1.751111113F. Krcil1.906590LSep 21 · 03:50R. Stapor2.20411761A. Sobel1.5711611113LSep 20 · 14:35A. Wos1.5311911123R. Stapor2.388117101WSep 20 · 13:20R. Stapor1.83151111113M. Minda1.83178841LSep 20 · 12:05R. Chrzescian1.3361111113R. Stapor3.25118481LSep 20 · 10:50G. Kesik2.001111113R. Stapor1.733980LSep 20 · 09:20M. Woskowicz2.20511617113R. Stapor1.61116111522LSep 20 · 07:45R. Stapor3.509680G. Poliniewicz1.281111113LSep 20 · 06:30R. Stapor1.91116931M. Minda1.8061111113
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