TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511119911118911
Michal Skorski
Away
1.74
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:01 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Skorski to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
511119911118911
H2H Bartlomiej Wisniewski 60–55 Michal Skorski Michal Skorski has won 55 of their 115 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Wisniewski beat Skorski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:01What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Skorski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-55 in 115
Wisniewski
Wrong
gap of 5 in 115, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1284 vs Skorski 1277
Wisniewski
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 80% vs Skorski 60%
Wisniewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 70% vs Skorski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski +2 · Skorski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skorski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 1.95 / Skorski 1.74
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skorski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13161765
Wisniewski1.95
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 159 of 434
Down 0–1, comes back15% 38 of 252
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 135
Skorski1.74
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 137 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it99% 65 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it76% 108 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski6wins
AwaySkorski4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderWisniewski leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski100%6 of 6
AwaySkorski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski6Skorski4n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S2Wisniewski2Skorski8n = 10Skorski took 8 of 10
S3Wisniewski8Skorski2n = 10Wisniewski took 8 of 10
S4Wisniewski1Skorski7n = 8Skorski took 7 of 8
S5Wisniewski5Skorski1n = 6Wisniewski took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiSkorskiW − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.243.0−0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiSkorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime896 / 1885 vs 721 / 148947.5%48.4%896 / 1885 vs 721 / 1489Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorskiWisniewski 1.95/Skorski 1.74
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 06:30B. Wisniewski44135114113M. Skorski46111161172
WAug 16 · 08:10B. Wisniewski341111123M. Skorski2468100
WAug 13 · 15:00B. Wisniewski51111199113M. Skorski4568111192
LAug 7 · 19:20B. Wisniewski34771191M. Skorski4211119113
WAug 3 · 16:35B. Wisniewski48118117113M. Skorski4671181192
WJul 24 · 17:45B. Wisniewski511110127113M. Skorski48712101182
LJun 9 · 12:35B. Wisniewski2481060M. Skorski341112113
WJun 7 · 19:20B. Wisniewski561171215113M. Skorski55911101782
LJun 3 · 13:25B. Wisniewski34591191M. Skorski4211119113
LMay 21 · 13:00B. Wisniewski4688111272M. Skorski481111510113
B. Wisniewski10
WSep 20 · 08:10B. Wisniewski3.101011715113J. Pruszkowski1.33127111382WSep 20 · 06:30M. Skorski1.80111161172B. Wisniewski1.90135114113LSep 20 · 05:40M. Sinicki1.73111211113B. Wisniewski1.98614881WSep 20 · 04:55B. Wisniewski1.8311511113D. Poloszczanski1.86911821WSep 20 · 03:50B. Wisniewski1.851111143J. Rolak1.8088120LSep 19 · 07:40B. Wisniewski5.501111101012M. Durda1.10871212113WSep 19 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.90611147133M. Zwolinski1.801191211112LSep 19 · 05:15B. Wisniewski1.95812871A. Szoltysek1.74111011113WSep 19 · 04:10W. Suchecki2.103460B. Wisniewski1.661111113WSep 19 · 03:25B. Wisniewski1.8511119113J. Rolak1.85781191
M. Skorski10
LSep 20 · 07:40M. Skorski1.8071240J. Rolak1.901114113LSep 20 · 06:30M. Skorski1.80111161172B. Wisniewski1.90135114113WSep 20 · 05:15M. Skorski3.80121111113J. Pruszkowski1.20145461WSep 20 · 04:10M. Sinicki1.76681181M. Skorski1.9011117113WSep 20 · 03:25M. Skorski1.888111211123D. Poloszczanski1.82115147102WSep 18 · 23:20A. Eliasz2.0011105101M. Skorski1.7191211123WSep 18 · 22:35A. Pilch—11109131M. Skorski—61211153LSep 18 · 22:15M. Skorski2.407790P. Maruszak1.501111113LSep 18 · 21:05K. Klocek1.60712119133M. Skorski2.101110911112WSep 18 · 20:30M. Skorski1.85111110133K. Golaszewski1.859912111
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