TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Skorski
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111214411––––
Jaroslaw Rolak
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Skorski to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
7111214411––––
H2H Michal Skorski 18–13 Jaroslaw Rolak Jaroslaw Rolak has won 13 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skorski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-13 in 31
Skorski
Wrong
gap of 5 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorski 1277 vs Rolak 1269
Skorski
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorski 80% vs Rolak 40%
Skorski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorski 70% vs Rolak 50%
Skorski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorski -1 · Rolak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skorski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolak form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorski 1.80 / Rolak 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skorski)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13161296
Skorski1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 137 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it99% 65 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it76% 108 of 143
Rolak1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 175 of 475
Down 0–1, comes back18% 47 of 264
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkorski4wins
AwayRolak6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRolak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorski75%3 of 4
AwayRolak83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorski4Rolak6n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S2Skorski3Rolak7n = 10Rolak took 7 of 10
S3Skorski3Rolak7n = 10Rolak took 7 of 10
S4Skorski4Rolak2n = 6Skorski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkorskiRolakS − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.839.1−4.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorskiRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime721 / 1489 vs 653 / 144248.4%45.3%721 / 1489 vs 653 / 1442Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorskiSkorski 1.80/Rolak 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 07:40M. Skorski2371240J. Rolak361114113
LAug 19 · 24:10M. Skorski364121191J. Rolak4311147113
LAug 18 · 15:00M. Skorski217860J. Rolak331111113
LAug 13 · 23:20M. Skorski52131666112J. Rolak6011141111133
LAug 13 · 20:30M. Skorski217860J. Rolak331111113
WAug 7 · 18:10M. Skorski4211911113J. Rolak34611981
WJul 17 · 01:00M. Skorski3911116113J. Rolak32781161
WJul 16 · 22:35M. Skorski4381212113J. Rolak4011101091
WJul 16 · 20:30M. Skorski49138611113J. Rolak47111111772
LJun 20 · 13:55M. Skorski228770J. Rolak331111113
M. Skorski10
LSep 20 · 06:30M. Skorski1.80111161172B. Wisniewski1.90135114113WSep 20 · 05:15M. Skorski3.80121111113J. Pruszkowski1.20145461WSep 20 · 04:10M. Sinicki1.76681181M. Skorski1.9011117113WSep 20 · 03:25M. Skorski1.888111211123D. Poloszczanski1.82115147102WSep 18 · 23:20A. Eliasz2.0011105101M. Skorski1.7191211123WSep 18 · 22:35A. Pilch—11109131M. Skorski—61211153LSep 18 · 22:15M. Skorski2.407790P. Maruszak1.501111113LSep 18 · 21:05K. Klocek1.60712119133M. Skorski2.101110911112WSep 18 · 20:30M. Skorski1.85111110133K. Golaszewski1.859912111WSep 18 · 18:55M. Skorski1.66131111113P. Strus2.05155691
J. Rolak10
LSep 20 · 06:55M. Sinicki1.8314711143J. Rolak1.8712116121LSep 20 · 06:05J. Rolak1.905131110102D. Poloszczanski1.761111712123WSep 20 · 04:30J. Rolak3.9011119113J. Pruszkowski1.20771181LSep 20 · 03:50B. Wisniewski1.851111143J. Rolak1.8088120WSep 19 · 13:55J. Rolak1.801111113W. Suchecki1.866350WSep 19 · 12:40J. Rolak1.8011911153D. Poloszczanski1.904119131WSep 19 · 11:25J. Rolak1.901211163A. Szoltysek1.75107140LSep 19 · 10:10M. Durda1.06116711123J. Rolak5.96811119102LSep 19 · 09:25J. Rolak1.85811891M. Zwolinski1.8511911113WSep 19 · 08:35W. Suchecki1.9558111272J. Rolak1.761111810113
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