TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13157710
Played Sep 19Finished
Jaroslaw Rolak
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1149111191513––
Dawid Poloszczanski
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:29 and never touched — 81.3% is still 81.3%
Graded at full timeDawid Poloszczanski to win
81.3%
81.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
1149111191513––
H2H Jaroslaw Rolak 1–7 Dawid Poloszczanski Jaroslaw Rolak has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rolak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Poloszczanski
Wrong
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rolak 1229 vs Poloszczanski 1370
Poloszczanski
Wrong
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolak 60% vs Poloszczanski 80%
Poloszczanski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolak 30% vs Poloszczanski 80%
Poloszczanski
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolak +1 · Poloszczanski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Poloszczanski) · live re-read · sealed at 81% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poloszczanski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 1.80 / Poloszczanski 1.90
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Poloszczanski)+5.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13157710
Rolak1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As favourite49% won 134 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it86% 62 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it71% 106 of 150
Poloszczanski1.90
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 117 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back22% 39 of 177
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeRolak1wins
AwayPoloszczanski7wins
6 of 8 to a deciderPoloszczanski leads 7–1, and 6 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRolak25%1 of 4
AwayPoloszczanski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolak4Poloszczanski4n = 8split evenly
S2Rolak4Poloszczanski4n = 8split evenly
S3Rolak3Poloszczanski5n = 8Poloszczanski took 5 of 8
S4Rolak4Poloszczanski2n = 6Rolak took 4 of 6
S5Rolak0Poloszczanski6n = 6Poloszczanski took 6 of 6
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away675%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricRolakPoloszczanskiR − PBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match43.243.6−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakPoloszczanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime649 / 1435 vs 337 / 83345.2%40.5%649 / 1435 vs 337 / 833Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoloszczanskiRolak 1.80/Poloszczanski 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Poloszczanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 12 · 03:25J. Rolak47111178102D. Poloszczanski47581111123
LAug 15 · 12:40J. Rolak47811121062D. Poloszczanski531191012113
LAug 1 · 10:10J. Rolak47111151192D. Poloszczanski47413118113
LAug 1 · 04:55J. Rolak47781111102D. Poloszczanski51111189123
WJul 11 · 11:25J. Rolak331111113D. Poloszczanski206950
LJun 20 · 04:10J. Rolak269980D. Poloszczanski331111113
LJun 2 · 16:25J. Rolak4591181162D. Poloszczanski47115119113
LJan 4 · 11:35J. Rolak5413101011102D. Poloszczanski511112124123
J. Rolak10
WSep 19 · 11:25J. Rolak1.901211163A. Szoltysek1.75107140LSep 19 · 10:10M. Durda1.06116711123J. Rolak5.96811119102LSep 19 · 09:25J. Rolak1.85811891M. Zwolinski1.8511911113WSep 19 · 08:35W. Suchecki1.9558111272J. Rolak1.761111810113WSep 19 · 07:20J. Rolak2.05171110113A. Szoltysek1.681571291LSep 19 · 06:05M. Durda1.103J. Rolak5.401LSep 19 · 04:55M. Zwolinski1.836101111113J. Rolak1.8611126652LSep 19 · 03:25B. Wisniewski1.8511119113J. Rolak1.85781191LSep 17 · 23:20J. Lamperski1.851211113J. Rolak1.8010580LSep 17 · 22:35B. Mrugala1.8311115113J. Rolak1.81691151
D. Poloszczanski10
WSep 19 · 11:50M. Durda1.047511101D. Poloszczanski6.0011119123LSep 19 · 11:00D. Poloszczanski1.86810111132M. Zwolinski1.80111256113WSep 19 · 09:50D. Poloszczanski1.8215711123W. Suchecki1.8813119101WSep 19 · 08:05D. Poloszczanski2.1011117113D. Wrobel1.66671191WSep 19 · 06:25W. Gronowski1.7011210101D. Poloszczanski1.9571112123WSep 19 · 05:35M. Minda1.21912911112D. Poloszczanski3.301110119133LSep 19 · 04:50D. Poloszczanski3.25811691B. Mleczko1.3011611113WSep 19 · 03:40D. Poloszczanski2.7512711113I. Dabrowski1.401011961WSep 13 · 07:40D. Poloszczanski1.83891111113M. Piecowski1.8111119672WSep 13 · 06:30D. Poloszczanski1.95124811113B. Wisniewski1.74101111472
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