TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13143207
Played Sep 17Finished
Jakub Lamperski
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210115118––––
Jaroslaw Rolak
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:32 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Rolak to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1210115118––––
H2H Jakub Lamperski 1–0 Jaroslaw Rolak Jaroslaw Rolak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Lamperski beat Rolak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:32What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rolak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lamperski 1446 vs Rolak 1228
Lamperski
Correct
both rated, 218 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lamperski 100% vs Rolak 20%
Lamperski
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lamperski 80% vs Rolak 50%
Lamperski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lamperski +5 · Rolak -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lamperski) · live re-read · sealed at 26% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolak form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLamperski 1.85 / Rolak 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lamperski)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13143207
Lamperski1.85
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog23% won 3 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Rolak1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 134 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it86% 62 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it70% 106 of 151
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLamperski1wins
AwayRolak0wins
Lamperski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLamperskiRolakL − RBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match44.031.0+13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLamperskiRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 20 vs 652 / 143850%45.3%10 / 20 vs 652 / 1438Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LamperskiLamperski 1.85/Rolak 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lamperski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lamperski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 17 · 20:30J. Lamperski44111111113J. Rolak31134771
J. Lamperski10
WSep 18 · 24:10J. Lamperski1.571211113M. Trela2.2510880WSep 17 · 21:55J. Lamperski1.44111198113B. Mrugala2.5068111152WSep 17 · 21:30J. Lamperski1.441111113K. Golaszewski2.625750WSep 17 · 20:30J. Lamperski1.60111111113J. Rolak2.10134771WSep 17 · 18:55J. Lamperski1.571311113B. Mrugala2.2011680WSep 17 · 17:45J. Lamperski1.4291111113K. Golaszewski2.60117781WSep 17 · 16:15J. Lamperski1.65511711113M. Kowalczyk2.0511711982WSep 17 · 15:00J. Lamperski1.931111113M. Trela1.785760LSep 17 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.171111113J. Lamperski4.507670WSep 16 · 22:55B. Sulkowski1.448118101J. Lamperski2.6311311123
J. Rolak10
LSep 17 · 22:35B. Mrugala1.8311115113J. Rolak1.81691151LSep 17 · 22:15J. Rolak1.80611861K. Golaszewski1.9011911113LSep 17 · 21:05M. Trela1.5515116123J. Rolak2.2013411101LSep 17 · 20:30J. Lamperski1.60111111113J. Rolak2.10134771WSep 17 · 19:20J. Rolak1.57111177113M. Trela2.2099111152WSep 17 · 18:10B. Mrugala1.836750J. Rolak1.801111113WSep 17 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.97714971J. Rolak1.69111211113LSep 17 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk1.901112143J. Rolak1.80610120WSep 15 · 23:20P. Ostachowski4.1511611732J. Rolak1.18911911113WSep 15 · 22:35M. Kowalczyk1.879850J. Rolak1.831111113
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