TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147434
Played Sep 17Finished
Jaroslaw Rolak
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119119711711115
Mateusz Trela
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:07 and never touched — 60.6% is still 60.6%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
60.6%
60.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
119119711711115
H2H Jaroslaw Rolak 24–27 Mateusz Trela Jaroslaw Rolak has won 24 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:07What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Rolak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-27 in 51
Trela
Wrong
gap of 3 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rolak 1263 vs Trela 1293
Trela
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolak 80% vs Trela 40%
Rolak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolak 60% vs Trela 30%
Rolak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolak +2 · Trela -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rolak) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 1.57 / Trela 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Rolak)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13147434
Rolak1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As favourite49% won 134 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it86% 62 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it70% 106 of 151
Trela2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 148 of 342
Down 0–1, comes back28% 52 of 189
Down 0–2, comes back12% 11 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRolak4wins
AwayTrela6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRolak80%4 of 5
AwayTrela100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolak5Trela5n = 10split evenly
S2Rolak5Trela5n = 10split evenly
S3Rolak4Trela6n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S4Rolak4Trela5n = 9Trela took 5 of 9
S5Rolak2Trela3n = 5Trela took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRolakTrelaR − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.945.8−0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime651 / 1433 vs 817 / 166645.4%49%651 / 1433 vs 817 / 1666Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RolakRolak 1.57/Trela 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Rolak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 20:30J. Rolak2789100M. Trela341111123
WAug 8 · 07:40J. Rolak561412118113M. Trela51121451192
LAug 4 · 22:35J. Rolak49811911102M. Trela48115119123
LJul 30 · 23:20J. Rolak401114871M. Trela47131211113
WJul 30 · 20:30J. Rolak4311911123M. Trela367118101
WJul 9 · 15:25J. Rolak47111110153M. Trela439912131
LJul 4 · 09:25J. Rolak421189141M. Trela4791111163
LJul 4 · 07:20J. Rolak4371111592M. Trela48119611113
WJul 4 · 04:55J. Rolak541271113113M. Trela54101191592
LApr 7 · 16:25J. Rolak481011101162M. Trela50128127113
J. Rolak10
LSep 17 · 20:30J. Lamperski1.60111111113J. Rolak2.10134771WSep 17 · 18:10B. Mrugala1.836750J. Rolak1.801111113WSep 17 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.97714971J. Rolak1.69111211113LSep 17 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk1.901112143J. Rolak1.80610120WSep 15 · 23:20P. Ostachowski4.1511611732J. Rolak1.18911911113WSep 15 · 22:35M. Kowalczyk1.879850J. Rolak1.831111113LSep 15 · 22:15J. Rolak1.8591070D. Kotwica1.751112113WSep 15 · 21:05K. Golaszewski1.87511781J. Rolak1.7711911113WSep 15 · 20:30P. Ostachowski4.550J. Rolak1.143LSep 15 · 19:20J. Rolak1.827101171K. Golaszewski1.8111124113
M. Trela10
LSep 17 · 20:05K. Golaszewski2.4771111113M. Trela1.44117791LSep 17 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk2.13111128113M. Trela1.5968111192WSep 17 · 16:35B. Mrugala2.25891191M. Trela1.5211114113LSep 17 · 15:00J. Lamperski1.931111113M. Trela1.785760WSep 16 · 23:20M. Skorski1.91861181M. Trela1.7011119113LSep 16 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.2011129113M. Trela1.609101181LSep 16 · 22:15M. Trela1.56691191B. Mrugala2.1811117113WSep 16 · 21:05W. Gluszek1.9510550M. Trela1.701211113LSep 16 · 20:30M. Trela1.85115115122M. Skorski1.80511811143LSep 16 · 18:55M. Trela1.5491111742P. Strus2.17116111113
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