Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147421

Starts 10:15 PMScheduled

Jaroslaw Rolak

Home

1.74

At publish

Won last 2

6–4Last 10Won last 2

Head to head

43 – 58

All 101 meetings · 42.6%

Last 10 · 5–5

Kuba Golaszewski

Away

1.90

At publish

Lost last 3

6–4Last 10Lost last 3

Both players are 6–4 over their last ten. The difference is the direction — Jaroslaw Rolak arrives off a win, Kuba Golaszewski off a loss, and the streak is one of the signals the engine reads.

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 5h before this match

Rolak beat Golaszewski 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRolak 1.74 / Golaszewski 1.90

TT Elite Series · #13147421

Rolak1.74

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

44%takes the first set · 4 of 9

As favourite49% won 134 of 275

Up 2–0, closes it86% 62 of 72

Up 1–0, closes it70% 106 of 151

Golaszewski1.90

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog40% won 175 of 438

Down 0–1, comes back18% 43 of 235

Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 127

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeRolak5wins

AwayGolaszewski5wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeRolak80%4 of 5

AwayGolaszewski80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Rolak5Golaszewski5n = 10split evenly

S2Rolak5Golaszewski5n = 10split evenly

S3Rolak6Golaszewski4n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10

S4Rolak5Golaszewski4n = 9Rolak took 5 of 9

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home550%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricRolakGolaszewskiR − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.237.5+1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricRolakGolaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime651 / 1433 vs 416 / 98845.4%42.1%651 / 1433 vs 416 / 988Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 17 · 16:55J. Rolak45111211113K. Golaszewski37714971

WSep 15 · 21:05J. Rolak4211911113K. Golaszewski31511781

LSep 15 · 19:20J. Rolak357101171K. Golaszewski3811124113

LSep 10 · 21:30J. Rolak481011111062K. Golaszewski48128512113

LSep 10 · 16:55J. Rolak361011961K. Golaszewski4312911113

WSep 8 · 23:20J. Rolak4011117113K. Golaszewski29871131

LSep 8 · 20:30J. Rolak50111211972K. Golaszewski50914511113

LSep 3 · 22:35J. Rolak152940K. Golaszewski331111113

WSep 3 · 18:10J. Rolak44121110113K. Golaszewski371071281

WAug 20 · 21:05J. Rolak3741111113K. Golaszewski29114861

J. Rolak10

WSep 17 · 18:10B. Mrugala1.836750J. Rolak1.801111113 WSep 17 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.97714971J. Rolak1.69111211113 LSep 17 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk1.901112143J. Rolak1.80610120 WSep 15 · 23:20P. Ostachowski4.1511611732J. Rolak1.18911911113 WSep 15 · 22:35M. Kowalczyk1.879850J. Rolak1.831111113 LSep 15 · 22:15J. Rolak1.8591070D. Kotwica1.751112113 WSep 15 · 21:05K. Golaszewski1.87511781J. Rolak1.7711911113 WSep 15 · 20:30P. Ostachowski4.550J. Rolak1.143 LSep 15 · 19:20J. Rolak1.827101171K. Golaszewski1.8111124113 LSep 15 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.50111110113J. Rolak2.40691251

K. Golaszewski10

LSep 17 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.641111113K. Golaszewski2.044970 LSep 17 · 17:45J. Lamperski1.4291111113K. Golaszewski2.60117781 LSep 17 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.97714971J. Rolak1.69111211113 WSep 17 · 15:50K. Golaszewski1.941111113B. Mrugala1.715870 LSep 17 · 24:35K. Golaszewski1.9379111142B. Mrugala1.72111187113 WSep 16 · 23:45W. Gluszek1.7399130K. Golaszewski1.981111153 WSep 16 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.2011129113M. Trela1.609101181 WSep 16 · 21:55M. Skorski1.6581281172K. Golaszewski2.051110118113 LSep 15 · 21:05K. Golaszewski1.87511781J. Rolak1.7711911113 WSep 15 · 19:20J. Rolak1.827101171K. Golaszewski1.8111124113

Upcoming Matches

J. Rolak

Sep 17 · 19:20J. Rolak2.28M. Trela1.51—Sep 17 · 20:30J. Rolak—J. Lamperski——Sep 17 · 21:05J. Rolak2.20M. Trela1.55—Sep 17 · 22:35J. Rolak1.81B. Mrugala1.83—Sep 17 · 23:20J. Rolak—J. Lamperski——

K. Golaszewski

Sep 17 · 20:05K. Golaszewski2.47M. Trela1.44—Sep 17 · 21:30K. Golaszewski—J. Lamperski——Sep 17 · 22:55K. Golaszewski2.38M. Trela1.47—Sep 18 · 24:35K. Golaszewski1.93B. Mrugala1.72—

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