Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147419

Starts 10:35 PMScheduled

Bartlomiej Mrugala

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 3

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

Head to head

34 – 33

All 67 meetings · 50.7%

Last 10 · 2–8Split

Jaroslaw Rolak

Away

1.81

At publish

Won last 2

6–4Last 10Won last 2

Bartlomiej Mrugala arrives off 3 straight losses. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 4h before this match

Rolak beat Mrugala 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMrugala 1.83 / Rolak 1.81

TT Elite Series · #13147419

Mrugala1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog44% won 112 of 254

Down 0–1, comes back22% 28 of 130

Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 65

Rolak1.81

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

44%takes the first set · 4 of 9

As favourite49% won 134 of 275

Up 2–0, closes it86% 62 of 72

Up 1–0, closes it70% 106 of 151

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMrugala2wins

AwayRolak8wins

3 of 10 to a deciderRolak leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMrugala66.7%2 of 3

AwayRolak100%7 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Mrugala3Rolak7n = 10Rolak took 7 of 10

S2Mrugala4Rolak6n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10

S3Mrugala0Rolak10n = 10Rolak took 10 of 10

S4Mrugala2Rolak4n = 6Rolak took 4 of 6

S5Mrugala2Rolak1n = 3Mrugala took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away440%

These 10 meetings

MetricMrugalaRolakM − RBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.739.5−5.8per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMrugalaRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 670 vs 651 / 143346%45.4%308 / 670 vs 651 / 1433Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 17 · 18:10B. Mrugala186750J. Rolak331111113

LSep 8 · 21:30B. Mrugala2510870J. Rolak341211113

WSep 8 · 16:55B. Mrugala46119211133J. Rolak50811119112

LSep 1 · 23:20B. Mrugala317111031J. Rolak4311912113

LSep 1 · 20:30B. Mrugala338114101J. Rolak4211811123

WAug 31 · 22:35B. Mrugala46111176113J. Rolak3464111122

LAug 31 · 16:55B. Mrugala2266100J. Rolak341111123

LAug 20 · 22:15B. Mrugala4110119111J. Rolak4112511133

LAug 20 · 16:55B. Mrugala331010130J. Rolak391212153

LJul 28 · 22:15B. Mrugala4211671172J. Rolak45611116113

B. Mrugala10

LSep 17 · 18:10B. Mrugala1.836750J. Rolak1.801111113 LSep 17 · 16:35B. Mrugala2.25891191M. Trela1.5211114113 LSep 17 · 15:50K. Golaszewski1.941111113B. Mrugala1.715870 WSep 17 · 24:35K. Golaszewski1.9379111142B. Mrugala1.72111187113 WSep 16 · 22:55W. Gluszek1.8811670B. Mrugala1.821311113 WSep 16 · 22:15M. Trela1.56691191B. Mrugala2.1811117113 LSep 16 · 21:30M. Skorski1.8311117123B. Mrugala1.887811101 LSep 16 · 20:05B. Mrugala1.9010111191W. Gluszek1.8012139113 WSep 16 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.80111165102B. Mrugala1.80881111123 WSep 16 · 17:45M. Trela1.8797111482B. Mrugala1.831111812113

J. Rolak10

WSep 17 · 18:10B. Mrugala1.836750J. Rolak1.801111113 WSep 17 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.97714971J. Rolak1.69111211113 LSep 17 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk1.901112143J. Rolak1.80610120 WSep 15 · 23:20P. Ostachowski4.1511611732J. Rolak1.18911911113 WSep 15 · 22:35M. Kowalczyk1.879850J. Rolak1.831111113 LSep 15 · 22:15J. Rolak1.8591070D. Kotwica1.751112113 WSep 15 · 21:05K. Golaszewski1.87511781J. Rolak1.7711911113 WSep 15 · 20:30P. Ostachowski4.550J. Rolak1.143 LSep 15 · 19:20J. Rolak1.827101171K. Golaszewski1.8111124113 LSep 15 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.50111110113J. Rolak2.40691251

Upcoming Matches

B. Mrugala

Sep 17 · 18:55B. Mrugala—J. Lamperski——Sep 17 · 19:40B. Mrugala1.88M. Kowalczyk1.76—Sep 17 · 21:55B. Mrugala—J. Lamperski——Sep 17 · 23:45B. Mrugala2.17M. Trela1.56—Sep 18 · 24:35B. Mrugala1.72K. Golaszewski1.93—

J. Rolak

Sep 17 · 19:20J. Rolak2.28M. Trela1.51—Sep 17 · 20:30J. Rolak—J. Lamperski——Sep 17 · 21:05J. Rolak2.20M. Trela1.55—Sep 17 · 22:15J. Rolak1.74K. Golaszewski1.90—Sep 17 · 23:20J. Rolak—J. Lamperski——

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