Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147412

Starts 11:45 PMScheduled

Mateusz Trela

Home

1.56

At publish

Lost last 1

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Head to head

4 – 8

All 12 meetings · 33.3%

Last 10 · 4–6Same side

Bartlomiej Mrugala

Away

2.17

At publish

Lost last 3

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

Neither player arrives off a win — both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 7h before this match

Trela beat Mrugala 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTrela 1.56 / Mrugala 2.17

TT Elite Series · #13147412

Trela1.56

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite56% won 138 of 247

Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57

Up 1–0, closes it74% 90 of 122

Mrugala2.17

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog44% won 112 of 254

Down 0–1, comes back22% 28 of 130

Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 65

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeTrela4wins

AwayMrugala6wins

4 of 10 to a deciderMrugala leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeTrela66.7%4 of 6

AwayMrugala100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Trela6Mrugala4n = 10Trela took 6 of 10

S2Trela4Mrugala6n = 10Mrugala took 6 of 10

S3Trela5Mrugala5n = 10split evenly

S4Trela5Mrugala4n = 9Trela took 5 of 9

S5Trela1Mrugala3n = 4Mrugala took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricTrelaMrugalaT − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.241.4+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricTrelaMrugalaBasisWin rate · lifetime817 / 1666 vs 308 / 67049%46%817 / 1666 vs 308 / 670Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 17 · 16:35M. Trela3711114113B. Mrugala37891191

LSep 16 · 22:15M. Trela35691191B. Mrugala4011117113

LSep 16 · 17:45M. Trela4997111482B. Mrugala531111812113

LSep 8 · 24:10M. Trela46681111102B. Mrugala50111179123

WSep 7 · 15:25M. Trela331111113B. Mrugala206590

WMay 14 · 13:00M. Trela6111101118113B. Mrugala5481282062

LMay 6 · 13:00M. Trela321151151B. Mrugala4051113113

LApr 20 · 17:30M. Trela501011811102B. Mrugala48124119123

WApr 1 · 13:00M. Trela43111110113B. Mrugala32861261

LMar 25 · 14:00M. Trela361171081B. Mrugala4061112113

M. Trela10

LSep 17 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk2.13111128113M. Trela1.5968111192 WSep 17 · 16:35B. Mrugala2.25891191M. Trela1.5211114113 LSep 17 · 15:00J. Lamperski1.931111113M. Trela1.785760 WSep 16 · 23:20M. Skorski1.91861181M. Trela1.7011119113 LSep 16 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.2011129113M. Trela1.609101181 LSep 16 · 22:15M. Trela1.56691191B. Mrugala2.1811117113 WSep 16 · 21:05W. Gluszek1.9510550M. Trela1.701211113 LSep 16 · 20:30M. Trela1.85115115122M. Skorski1.80511811143 LSep 16 · 18:55M. Trela1.5491111742P. Strus2.17116111113 LSep 16 · 17:45M. Trela1.8797111482B. Mrugala1.831111812113

B. Mrugala10

LSep 17 · 18:10B. Mrugala1.836750J. Rolak1.801111113 LSep 17 · 16:35B. Mrugala2.25891191M. Trela1.5211114113 LSep 17 · 15:50K. Golaszewski1.941111113B. Mrugala1.715870 WSep 17 · 24:35K. Golaszewski1.9379111142B. Mrugala1.72111187113 WSep 16 · 22:55W. Gluszek1.8811670B. Mrugala1.821311113 WSep 16 · 22:15M. Trela1.56691191B. Mrugala2.1811117113 LSep 16 · 21:30M. Skorski1.8311117123B. Mrugala1.887811101 LSep 16 · 20:05B. Mrugala1.9010111191W. Gluszek1.8012139113 WSep 16 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.80111165102B. Mrugala1.80881111123 WSep 16 · 17:45M. Trela1.8797111482B. Mrugala1.831111812113

Upcoming Matches

M. Trela

Sep 17 · 19:20M. Trela1.51J. Rolak2.28—Sep 17 · 20:05M. Trela1.44K. Golaszewski2.47—Sep 17 · 21:05M. Trela1.55J. Rolak2.20—Sep 17 · 22:55M. Trela1.47K. Golaszewski2.38—Sep 18 · 24:10M. Trela—J. Lamperski——

B. Mrugala

Sep 17 · 18:55B. Mrugala—J. Lamperski——Sep 17 · 19:40B. Mrugala1.88M. Kowalczyk1.76—Sep 17 · 21:55B. Mrugala—J. Lamperski——Sep 17 · 22:35B. Mrugala1.83J. Rolak1.81—Sep 18 · 24:35B. Mrugala1.72K. Golaszewski1.93—

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