TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13145046
Played Sep 17Finished
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711511––––
Jaroslaw Rolak
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Rolak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
611711511––––
H2H Bartlomiej Mrugala 34–32 Jaroslaw Rolak Jaroslaw Rolak has won 32 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:33What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (50%)
Rolak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-32 in 66
Mrugala
Wrong
gap of 2 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrugala 1303 vs Rolak 1246
Mrugala
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrugala 60% vs Rolak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrugala 60% vs Rolak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrugala -2 · Rolak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rolak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrugala 1.83 / Rolak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rolak)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13145046
Mrugala1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 112 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back22% 28 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 65
Rolak1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As favourite49% won 134 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it86% 62 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it70% 106 of 151
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrugala3wins
AwayRolak7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRolak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrugala75%3 of 4
AwayRolak100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrugala4Rolak6n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S2Mrugala4Rolak6n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S3Mrugala1Rolak9n = 10Rolak took 9 of 10
S4Mrugala2Rolak5n = 7Rolak took 5 of 7
S5Mrugala3Rolak1n = 4Mrugala took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrugalaRolakM − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.340.4−4.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrugalaRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 669 vs 650 / 143246%45.4%308 / 669 vs 650 / 1432Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RolakMrugala 1.83/Rolak 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rolak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 21:30B. Mrugala2510870J. Rolak341211113
WSep 8 · 16:55B. Mrugala46119211133J. Rolak50811119112
LSep 1 · 23:20B. Mrugala317111031J. Rolak4311912113
LSep 1 · 20:30B. Mrugala338114101J. Rolak4211811123
WAug 31 · 22:35B. Mrugala46111176113J. Rolak3464111122
LAug 31 · 16:55B. Mrugala2266100J. Rolak341111123
LAug 20 · 22:15B. Mrugala4110119111J. Rolak4112511133
LAug 20 · 16:55B. Mrugala331010130J. Rolak391212153
LJul 28 · 22:15B. Mrugala4211671172J. Rolak45611116113
WJul 28 · 18:10B. Mrugala44113118113J. Rolak4251171182
B. Mrugala10
LSep 17 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.76111196113B. Mrugala1.8877111152LSep 17 · 18:55J. Lamperski1.571311113B. Mrugala2.2011680LSep 17 · 16:35B. Mrugala2.25891191M. Trela1.5211114113LSep 17 · 15:50K. Golaszewski1.941111113B. Mrugala1.715870WSep 17 · 24:35K. Golaszewski1.9379111142B. Mrugala1.72111187113WSep 16 · 22:55W. Gluszek1.8811670B. Mrugala1.821311113WSep 16 · 22:15M. Trela1.56691191B. Mrugala2.1811117113LSep 16 · 21:30M. Skorski1.8311117123B. Mrugala1.887811101LSep 16 · 20:05B. Mrugala1.9010111191W. Gluszek1.8012139113WSep 16 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.80111165102B. Mrugala1.80881111123
J. Rolak10
LSep 17 · 20:30J. Lamperski1.60111111113J. Rolak2.10134771WSep 17 · 19:20J. Rolak1.57111177113M. Trela2.2099111152WSep 17 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.97714971J. Rolak1.69111211113LSep 17 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk1.901112143J. Rolak1.80610120WSep 15 · 23:20P. Ostachowski4.1511611732J. Rolak1.18911911113WSep 15 · 22:35M. Kowalczyk1.879850J. Rolak1.831111113LSep 15 · 22:15J. Rolak1.8591070D. Kotwica1.751112113WSep 15 · 21:05K. Golaszewski1.87511781J. Rolak1.7711911113WSep 15 · 20:30P. Ostachowski4.550J. Rolak1.143LSep 15 · 19:20J. Rolak1.827101171K. Golaszewski1.8111124113
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