TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13145042
Played Sep 17Finished
Marcin Kowalczyk
Home
1.64
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114119117––––
Kuba Golaszewski
Away
2.04
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKuba Golaszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
114119117––––
H2H Marcin Kowalczyk 41–31 Kuba Golaszewski Kuba Golaszewski has won 31 of their 72 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:33What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.64 (55%)
Kowalczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-31 in 72
Kowalczyk
Correct
gap of 10 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalczyk 1259 vs Golaszewski 1196
Kowalczyk
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalczyk 40% vs Golaszewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalczyk 40% vs Golaszewski 60%
Golaszewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalczyk +1 · Golaszewski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kowalczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalczyk 1.64 / Golaszewski 2.04
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kowalczyk)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13145042
Kowalczyk1.64
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As favourite56% won 91 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it74% 81 of 110
Golaszewski2.04
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 175 of 438
Down 0–1, comes back18% 43 of 235
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKowalczyk5wins
AwayGolaszewski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalczyk100%4 of 4
AwayGolaszewski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalczyk4Golaszewski6n = 10Golaszewski took 6 of 10
S2Kowalczyk5Golaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Kowalczyk7Golaszewski3n = 10Kowalczyk took 7 of 10
S4Kowalczyk3Golaszewski3n = 6split evenly
S5Kowalczyk1Golaszewski2n = 3Golaszewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKowalczykGolaszewskiK − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.535.7+1.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalczykGolaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime742 / 1518 vs 416 / 98748.9%42.2%742 / 1518 vs 416 / 987Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalczykKowalczyk 1.64/Golaszewski 2.04
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Kowalczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kowalczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 23:45M. Kowalczyk47781111102K. Golaszewski45111129123
WSep 3 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk47811116113K. Golaszewski4811981192
WAug 21 · 24:10M. Kowalczyk331111113K. Golaszewski196670
LAug 20 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk2458110K. Golaszewski351111133
LAug 12 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk351071171K. Golaszewski4012116113
WAug 12 · 16:55M. Kowalczyk44111111113K. Golaszewski34771371
WAug 10 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk331111113K. Golaszewski217950
LAug 10 · 16:55M. Kowalczyk2561180K. Golaszewski351113113
WJul 29 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk4111811113K. Golaszewski35911691
LJul 21 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk4681111792K. Golaszewski45115711113
M. Kowalczyk10
WSep 17 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk2.13111128113M. Trela1.5968111192LSep 17 · 16:15J. Lamperski1.65511711113M. Kowalczyk2.0511711982WSep 17 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk1.901112143J. Rolak1.80610120LSep 16 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.7511113742P. Strus1.85591111113LSep 16 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.80111165102B. Mrugala1.80881111123WSep 16 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.8831111113W. Gluszek1.82118341LSep 16 · 16:15M. Trela1.723M. Kowalczyk2.000WSep 16 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk1.92121111123M. Skorski1.731475101LSep 16 · 24:35M. Kowalczyk1.9010111191D. Kotwica1.8012137113LSep 15 · 23:45K. Golaszewski2.04111129123M. Kowalczyk1.64781111102
K. Golaszewski10
LSep 17 · 17:45J. Lamperski1.4291111113K. Golaszewski2.60117781LSep 17 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.97714971J. Rolak1.69111211113WSep 17 · 15:50K. Golaszewski1.941111113B. Mrugala1.715870LSep 17 · 24:35K. Golaszewski1.9379111142B. Mrugala1.72111187113WSep 16 · 23:45W. Gluszek1.7399130K. Golaszewski1.981111153WSep 16 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.2011129113M. Trela1.609101181WSep 16 · 21:55M. Skorski1.6581281172K. Golaszewski2.051110118113WSep 16 · 24:10P. Ostachowski4.451188121K. Golaszewski1.1481111143WSep 15 · 23:45K. Golaszewski2.04111129123M. Kowalczyk1.64781111102LSep 15 · 22:55K. Golaszewski2.106950D. Kotwica1.601111113
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