TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13135085
Played Sep 15Finished
Kuba Golaszewski
Home
2.04
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171182119111210
Marcin Kowalczyk
Away
1.64
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:36 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeMarcin Kowalczyk to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
1171182119111210
H2H Kuba Golaszewski 30–41 Marcin Kowalczyk Kuba Golaszewski has won 30 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:36What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.64 (55%)
Kowalczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-41 in 71
Kowalczyk
Wrong
gap of 11 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Golaszewski 1135 vs Kowalczyk 1290
Kowalczyk
Wrong
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Golaszewski 20% vs Kowalczyk 80%
Kowalczyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Golaszewski 30% vs Kowalczyk 70%
Kowalczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Golaszewski -3 · Kowalczyk -1
Golaszewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kowalczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGolaszewski 2.04 / Kowalczyk 1.64
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kowalczyk)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13135085
Golaszewski2.04
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 177 of 443
Down 0–1, comes back18% 43 of 237
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 128
Kowalczyk1.64
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 90 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it98% 48 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it74% 80 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGolaszewski4wins
AwayKowalczyk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKowalczyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGolaszewski80%4 of 5
AwayKowalczyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Golaszewski5Kowalczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Golaszewski4Kowalczyk6n = 10Kowalczyk took 6 of 10
S3Golaszewski4Kowalczyk6n = 10Kowalczyk took 6 of 10
S4Golaszewski4Kowalczyk2n = 6Golaszewski took 4 of 6
S5Golaszewski1Kowalczyk2n = 3Kowalczyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaszewskiKowalczykG − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.037.7−1.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaszewskiKowalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 978 vs 738 / 150941.9%48.9%410 / 978 vs 738 / 1509Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalczykGolaszewski 2.04/Kowalczyk 1.64
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Kowalczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Golaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 19:40K. Golaszewski4811981192M. Kowalczyk47811116113
LAug 21 · 24:10K. Golaszewski196670M. Kowalczyk331111113
WAug 20 · 17:20K. Golaszewski351111133M. Kowalczyk2458110
WAug 12 · 22:15K. Golaszewski4012116113M. Kowalczyk351071171
LAug 12 · 16:55K. Golaszewski34771371M. Kowalczyk44111111113
LAug 10 · 22:15K. Golaszewski217950M. Kowalczyk331111113
WAug 10 · 16:55K. Golaszewski351113113M. Kowalczyk2561180
LJul 29 · 19:40K. Golaszewski35911691M. Kowalczyk4111811113
WJul 21 · 17:20K. Golaszewski45115711113M. Kowalczyk4681111792
LJul 20 · 15:25K. Golaszewski48611111192M. Kowalczyk49111386113
K. Golaszewski10
WSep 16 · 24:10P. Ostachowski4.451188121K. Golaszewski1.1481111143LSep 15 · 22:55K. Golaszewski2.106950D. Kotwica1.601111113LSep 15 · 21:05K. Golaszewski1.87511781J. Rolak1.7711911113LSep 15 · 20:05J. Nosiadek1.76981112123K. Golaszewski1.881111410102WSep 15 · 19:20J. Rolak1.827101171K. Golaszewski1.8111124113LSep 15 · 17:20D. Kotwica1.68138118113K. Golaszewski2.05111131102LSep 15 · 16:35D. Szlubowski1.461411113K. Golaszewski2.4012690LSep 15 · 15:00P. Ostachowski4.4571111113K. Golaszewski1.14119981LSep 15 · 24:35A. Myszewski1.751111113K. Golaszewski1.909790WSep 14 · 22:55P. Ostachowski2.356911101K. Golaszewski1.5311118123
M. Kowalczyk10
LSep 16 · 24:35M. Kowalczyk1.9010111191D. Kotwica1.8012137113LSep 15 · 22:35M. Kowalczyk1.879850J. Rolak1.831111113WSep 15 · 21:55P. Ostachowski5.1016660M. Kowalczyk1.111811113WSep 3 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.54811116113K. Golaszewski2.3511981192WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.86111159113K. Sulkowski1.8084111192WSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460WSep 3 · 16:15M. Trela1.6531011121M. Kowalczyk2.0611124143LSep 3 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk2.5591141182J. Rolak1.44117118113LSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113
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