TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13143206
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Lamperski
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118118––––
Mateusz Trela
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:32 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1210118118––––
H2H Jakub Lamperski 1–0 Mateusz Trela Mateusz Trela has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 9h before this match
Lamperski beat Trela 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:32What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lamperski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lamperski 1458 vs Trela 1273
Lamperski
Correct
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lamperski 100% vs Trela 40%
Lamperski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lamperski 90% vs Trela 40%
Lamperski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lamperski +5 · Trela +1
Lamperski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Lamperski) · live re-read · sealed at 34% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lamperski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLamperski 1.57 / Trela 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Lamperski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13143206
Lamperski1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Trela2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 148 of 342
Down 0–1, comes back28% 52 of 189
Down 0–2, comes back12% 11 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLamperski1wins
AwayTrela0wins
Lamperski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLamperskiTrelaL − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.018.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLamperskiTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 21 vs 818 / 166952.4%49%11 / 21 vs 818 / 1669Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LamperskiLamperski 1.57/Trela 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Lamperski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lamperski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 17 · 15:00J. Lamperski331111113M. Trela185760
J. Lamperski10
WSep 17 · 23:20J. Lamperski1.851211113J. Rolak1.8010580WSep 17 · 21:55J. Lamperski1.44111198113B. Mrugala2.5068111152WSep 17 · 21:30J. Lamperski1.441111113K. Golaszewski2.625750WSep 17 · 20:30J. Lamperski1.60111111113J. Rolak2.10134771WSep 17 · 18:55J. Lamperski1.571311113B. Mrugala2.2011680WSep 17 · 17:45J. Lamperski1.4291111113K. Golaszewski2.60117781WSep 17 · 16:15J. Lamperski1.65511711113M. Kowalczyk2.0511711982WSep 17 · 15:00J. Lamperski1.931111113M. Trela1.785760LSep 17 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.171111113J. Lamperski4.507670WSep 16 · 22:55B. Sulkowski1.448118101J. Lamperski2.6311311123
M. Trela10
WSep 17 · 23:45M. Trela1.8531112113B. Mrugala1.801121091LSep 17 · 22:55M. Trela1.4751190K. Golaszewski2.381113113WSep 17 · 21:05M. Trela1.5515116123J. Rolak2.2013411101LSep 17 · 20:05K. Golaszewski2.4771111113M. Trela1.44117791LSep 17 · 19:20J. Rolak1.57111177113M. Trela2.2099111152LSep 17 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk2.13111128113M. Trela1.5968111192WSep 17 · 16:35B. Mrugala2.25891191M. Trela1.5211114113LSep 17 · 15:00J. Lamperski1.931111113M. Trela1.785760WSep 16 · 23:20M. Skorski1.91861181M. Trela1.7011119113LSep 16 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.2011129113M. Trela1.609101181
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