TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147416
Played Sep 17Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
1.47
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111113911––––
Kuba Golaszewski
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:08 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
5111113911––––
H2H Mateusz Trela 11–17 Kuba Golaszewski Mateusz Trela has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Golaszewski beat Trela 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (62%)
Trela
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-17 in 28
Golaszewski
Correct
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1277 vs Golaszewski 1208
Trela
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 40% vs Golaszewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 40% vs Golaszewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela +1 · Golaszewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Trela)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.47 / Golaszewski 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Trela)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13147416
Trela1.47
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 138 of 247
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it74% 90 of 122
Golaszewski2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 175 of 438
Down 0–1, comes back18% 43 of 235
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela4wins
AwayGolaszewski6wins
Golaszewski leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela80%4 of 5
AwayGolaszewski100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela5Golaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Trela4Golaszewski6n = 10Golaszewski took 6 of 10
S3Trela7Golaszewski3n = 10Trela took 7 of 10
S4Trela2Golaszewski6n = 8Golaszewski took 6 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaGolaszewskiT − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.537.3−0.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaGolaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime817 / 1667 vs 418 / 99149%42.2%817 / 1667 vs 418 / 991Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaTrela 1.47/Golaszewski 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.2%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Golaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 20:05M. Trela34117791K. Golaszewski4071111113
LSep 16 · 22:35M. Trela389101181K. Golaszewski4311129113
LSep 14 · 22:15M. Trela338101141K. Golaszewski4211128113
LSep 14 · 17:45M. Trela35811791K. Golaszewski3811511113
WSep 11 · 24:35M. Trela341111123K. Golaszewski2468100
WSep 9 · 22:35M. Trela4211911113K. Golaszewski34911861
LSep 9 · 16:15M. Trela37991361K. Golaszewski44111111113
WSep 7 · 21:55M. Trela381116113K. Golaszewski2881460
LSep 3 · 21:55M. Trela345611121K. Golaszewski4511119143
WSep 3 · 18:55M. Trela4011126113K. Golaszewski357101171
M. Trela10
WSep 17 · 23:45M. Trela1.8531112113B. Mrugala1.801121091WSep 17 · 21:05M. Trela1.5515116123J. Rolak2.2013411101LSep 17 · 20:05K. Golaszewski2.4771111113M. Trela1.44117791LSep 17 · 19:20J. Rolak1.57111177113M. Trela2.2099111152LSep 17 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk2.13111128113M. Trela1.5968111192WSep 17 · 16:35B. Mrugala2.25891191M. Trela1.5211114113LSep 17 · 15:00J. Lamperski1.931111113M. Trela1.785760WSep 16 · 23:20M. Skorski1.91861181M. Trela1.7011119113LSep 16 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.2011129113M. Trela1.609101181LSep 16 · 22:15M. Trela1.56691191B. Mrugala2.1811117113
K. Golaszewski10
WSep 17 · 22:15J. Rolak1.80611861K. Golaszewski1.9011911113LSep 17 · 21:30J. Lamperski1.441111113K. Golaszewski2.625750WSep 17 · 20:05K. Golaszewski2.4771111113M. Trela1.44117791LSep 17 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.641111113K. Golaszewski2.044970LSep 17 · 17:45J. Lamperski1.4291111113K. Golaszewski2.60117781LSep 17 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.97714971J. Rolak1.69111211113WSep 17 · 15:50K. Golaszewski1.941111113B. Mrugala1.715870LSep 17 · 24:35K. Golaszewski1.9379111142B. Mrugala1.72111187113WSep 16 · 23:45W. Gluszek1.7399130K. Golaszewski1.981111153WSep 16 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.2011129113M. Trela1.609101181
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