TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101181412––––
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:19 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeMikolaj Lukaszewski to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
12101181412––––
H2H Bartlomiej Wisniewski 51–57 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 51 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Lukaszewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-57 in 108
Lukaszewski
Wrong
gap of 6 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1273 vs Lukaszewski 1334
Lukaszewski
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 40% vs Lukaszewski 0%
Wisniewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 40% vs Lukaszewski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski +1 · Lukaszewski -5
Lukaszewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Lukaszewski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (0%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 1.95 / Lukaszewski 1.75
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Lukaszewski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13165974
Wisniewski1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 162 of 443
Down 0–1, comes back15% 39 of 258
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 138
Lukaszewski1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 94 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it82% 75 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski4wins
AwayLukaszewski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLukaszewski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski80%4 of 5
AwayLukaszewski100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Wisniewski6Lukaszewski4n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S3Wisniewski5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Wisniewski2Lukaszewski3n = 5Lukaszewski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiLukaszewskiW − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.738.2−0.5per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime894 / 1883 vs 906 / 199547.5%45.4%894 / 1883 vs 906 / 1995Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukaszewskiWisniewski 1.95/Lukaszewski 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.1%
Lukaszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 11:50B. Wisniewski371191071M. Lukaszewski4391112113
LSep 10 · 18:55B. Wisniewski4791111792M. Lukaszewski50119811113
LSep 9 · 06:30B. Wisniewski2798100M. Lukaszewski341111123
WAug 30 · 03:25B. Wisniewski351311113M. Lukaszewski2811890
LAug 18 · 07:20B. Wisniewski368111071M. Lukaszewski4311912113
WAug 16 · 07:20B. Wisniewski5811119273M. Lukaszewski506811251
WAug 9 · 10:10B. Wisniewski331111113M. Lukaszewski249690
LAug 9 · 06:55B. Wisniewski2781180M. Lukaszewski351113113
WAug 2 · 13:30B. Wisniewski331111113M. Lukaszewski247980
LAug 2 · 06:30B. Wisniewski44311111182M. Lukaszewski51111397113
B. Wisniewski10
WSep 21 · 04:10M. Zwolinski1.839690B. Wisniewski1.871111113LSep 21 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.15861151F. Krcil1.5511116113WSep 20 · 14:40B. Wisniewski1.8314128123A. Eliasz1.86121011101LSep 20 · 13:05B. Wisniewski1.865890D. Poloszczanski1.801111113LSep 20 · 11:50B. Wisniewski5.0011971162J. Pruszkowski1.12911117113LSep 20 · 10:10B. Wisniewski2.106990M. Sinicki1.661111113LSep 20 · 09:00B. Wisniewski1.9551191192M. Skorski1.74119118113WSep 20 · 08:10B. Wisniewski3.101011715113J. Pruszkowski1.33127111382WSep 20 · 06:30M. Skorski1.80111161172B. Wisniewski1.90135114113LSep 20 · 05:40M. Sinicki1.73111211113B. Wisniewski1.98614881
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 21 · 04:30A. Sobel1.25117125113M. Lukaszewski3.05811101162LSep 21 · 03:00M. Zwolinski2.101111143M. Lukaszewski1.6084120LSep 20 · 14:15K. Kufel1.4071111113M. Lukaszewski2.75118951LSep 20 · 13:25M. Misiak1.601111113M. Lukaszewski2.108340LSep 20 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.751111133M. Lukaszewski1.9547110WSep 20 · 10:30M. Zagajewski1.7069110M. Lukaszewski2.001111133LSep 20 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.63131367113M. Lukaszewski2.151111111152WSep 20 · 08:05M. Misiak1.6077111172M. Lukaszewski2.10111159113LSep 20 · 07:15M. Zagajewski1.6211711113M. Lukaszewski2.20611971WSep 20 · 05:15P. Staniszewski1.857711111M. Lukaszewski1.8011119133
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