TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117112––––
Bartosz Czerwinski
Away
1.74
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:54 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
119117112––––
H2H Artur Sobel 2–8 Bartosz Czerwinski Artur Sobel has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:54What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Czerwinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Czerwinski
Wrong
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1609 vs Czerwinski 1533
Sobel
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 100% vs Czerwinski 60%
Sobel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 80% vs Czerwinski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel +7 · Czerwinski +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Czerwinski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobel form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.95 / Czerwinski 1.74
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Czerwinski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13164165
Sobel1.95
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 81 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Czerwinski1.74
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 94 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it85% 66 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobel2wins
AwayCzerwinski8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel50%2 of 4
AwayCzerwinski100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel4Czerwinski6n = 10Czerwinski took 6 of 10
S2Sobel4Czerwinski6n = 10Czerwinski took 6 of 10
S3Sobel5Czerwinski5n = 10split evenly
S4Sobel4Czerwinski5n = 9Czerwinski took 5 of 9
S5Sobel0Czerwinski4n = 4Czerwinski took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobelCzerwinskiS − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.844.4−4.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelCzerwinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime643 / 1187 vs 492 / 103654.2%47.5%643 / 1187 vs 492 / 1036Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiSobel 1.95/Czerwinski 1.74
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 11:50A. Sobel2999110B. Czerwinski351111133
LSep 8 · 04:00A. Sobel27114751B. Czerwinski4071111113
LSep 1 · 11:00A. Sobel377811111B. Czerwinski4311118133
WAug 25 · 12:15A. Sobel45111112113B. Czerwinski37781481
LAug 24 · 04:30A. Sobel48711811112B. Czerwinski52118119133
LJun 29 · 11:50A. Sobel5281214992B. Czerwinski5511101211113
WJun 9 · 03:50A. Sobel4711916113B. Czerwinski396111481
LJun 8 · 07:45A. Sobel46111011682B. Czerwinski45912211113
LJun 5 · 04:30A. Sobel358121051B. Czerwinski44111012113
LMar 24 · 09:20A. Sobel3213121332B. Czerwinski5411111011113
A. Sobel10
WSep 21 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.659760A. Sobel1.171111113WSep 21 · 06:55M. Zwolinski3.70116751A. Sobel1.1691111113WSep 21 · 06:05A. Sobel1.331111113F. Krcil2.955360WSep 21 · 04:30A. Sobel1.25117125113M. Lukaszewski3.05811101162WSep 21 · 03:50R. Stapor2.20411761A. Sobel1.5711611113WSep 15 · 14:40A. Sobel2.00111011113J. Witkowski1.73912761WSep 15 · 13:05A. Sobel1.9511119113J. Zochniak1.70971121LSep 15 · 11:50A. Sobel2.0099110B. Czerwinski1.711111133WSep 15 · 10:10A. Sobel1.3211911113W. Iwasyszyn3.10211761LSep 15 · 09:00A. Sobel1.68121111872K. Rudomina2.051013311113
B. Czerwinski10
WSep 18 · 14:20B. Czerwinski1.90119116113J. Zochniak1.7671191172WSep 18 · 12:40B. Mleczko2.00101171182B. Czerwinski1.70126118113WSep 18 · 11:50W. Gronowski2.75103100B. Czerwinski1.371211123LSep 18 · 11:00B. Czerwinski1.9396111182M. Minda1.78111175113LSep 18 · 09:50B. Czerwinski1.2871060J. Przewlocki3.401112113WSep 17 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.30111175113K. Klocek3.0095111132WSep 17 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.45911118113F. Krcil2.5611631172WSep 17 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.30711611113B. Wisniewski3.2211811292WSep 17 · 04:10W. Suchecki4.05119581B. Czerwinski1.1871111113WSep 15 · 11:50A. Sobel2.0099110B. Czerwinski1.711111133
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