TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13150114
Played Sep 18Finished
Bartosz Czerwinski
Home
1.93
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911611117115811
Michal Minda
Away
1.78
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:13 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
911611117115811
H2H Bartosz Czerwinski 6–3 Michal Minda Michal Minda has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:13What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Minda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Czerwinski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Czerwinski 1542 vs Minda 1458
Czerwinski
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Czerwinski 80% vs Minda 60%
Czerwinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Czerwinski 70% vs Minda 40%
Czerwinski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Czerwinski -1 · Minda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Czerwinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCzerwinski 1.93 / Minda 1.78
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Minda)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13150114
Czerwinski1.93
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 31 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back23% 11 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Minda1.78
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 267 of 428
Up 2–0, closes it97% 112 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it81% 202 of 249
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeCzerwinski6wins
AwayMinda3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCzerwinski83.3%5 of 6
AwayMinda66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Czerwinski6Minda3n = 9Czerwinski took 6 of 9
S2Czerwinski4Minda5n = 9Minda took 5 of 9
S3Czerwinski6Minda3n = 9Czerwinski took 6 of 9
S4Czerwinski4Minda2n = 6Czerwinski took 4 of 6
S5Czerwinski2Minda1n = 3Czerwinski took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricCzerwinskiMindaC − MBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match40.737.9+2.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCzerwinskiMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime490 / 1035 vs 1012 / 197247.3%51.3%490 / 1035 vs 1012 / 1972Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaCzerwinski 1.93/Minda 1.78
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 9 · 08:30B. Czerwinski4011117113M. Minda35781191
WSep 8 · 06:25B. Czerwinski451121011113M. Minda4791112782
WJun 29 · 11:00B. Czerwinski361111143M. Minda2448120
LJun 17 · 06:05B. Czerwinski48137611112M. Minda551111119133
LJun 17 · 03:50B. Czerwinski466820121M. Minda54111118143
WJun 16 · 05:40B. Czerwinski331111113M. Minda184680
WJun 16 · 03:25B. Czerwinski331111113M. Minda194690
LMay 29 · 03:25B. Czerwinski34991151M. Minda4211119113
WMay 20 · 03:25B. Czerwinski511081111113M. Minda4712118972
B. Czerwinski10
WSep 18 · 11:50W. Gronowski2.75103100B. Czerwinski1.371211123LSep 18 · 09:50B. Czerwinski1.2871060J. Przewlocki3.401112113WSep 17 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.30111175113K. Klocek3.0095111132WSep 17 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.45911118113F. Krcil2.5611631172WSep 17 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.30711611113B. Wisniewski3.2211811292WSep 17 · 04:10W. Suchecki4.05119581B. Czerwinski1.1871111113WSep 17 · 03:25B. Czerwinski1.571111113R. Stapor2.207960WSep 16 · 14:20B. Czerwinski1.25118811113M. Zwolinski3.4581111582LSep 16 · 12:40R. Stapor2.301111113B. Czerwinski1.527980WSep 16 · 11:50A. Szoltysek3.158750B. Czerwinski1.301111113
M. Minda10
LSep 18 · 09:25B. Mleczko2.05811911113M. Minda1.6811811492WSep 17 · 14:20J. Zochniak1.75111111992M. Minda1.90138911113LSep 17 · 13:30D. Kosmal1.8161111113M. Minda1.90114481WSep 17 · 11:25W. Suchecki3.604890M. Minda1.221111113WSep 17 · 10:35R. Stapor2.20713101272M. Minda1.6011111210113WSep 17 · 09:00F. Krcil2.2012119452M. Minda1.621041111113LSep 16 · 20:05M. Minda2.754960M. Rutkowski1.401111113LSep 16 · 18:30B. Sulkowski1.83116711113M. Minda1.8341111672LSep 16 · 17:40D. Solilo1.73111192113M. Minda2.0077111172LSep 16 · 16:55M. Minda1.918650M. Kolek1.801111113
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