TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Sobel vs Mikolaj Lukaszewski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
1.37
At publish
Won last 12Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 12
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116811911811––
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 89.3% is still 89.3%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
89.3%
89.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
116811911811––
H2H Artur Sobel 5–0 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (67%)
Sobel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Sobel
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1650 vs Lukaszewski 1299
Sobel
Wrong
both rated, 351 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 100% vs Lukaszewski 0%
Sobel
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 100% vs Lukaszewski 10%
Sobel
Wrong
90pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel +12 · Lukaszewski -8
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 89% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.37 / Lukaszewski 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Sobel)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13170545
Sobel1.37
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 12
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 166 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it93% 66 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it78% 119 of 152
Lukaszewski2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 257 of 636
Down 0–1, comes back14% 47 of 349
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 193
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSobel5wins
AwayLukaszewski0wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSobel leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel100%5 of 5
AwayLukaszewskin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel5Lukaszewski0n = 5Sobel took 5 of 5
S2Sobel4Lukaszewski1n = 5Sobel took 4 of 5
S3Sobel4Lukaszewski1n = 5Sobel took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home360%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSobelLukaszewskiS − LBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match38.228.6+9.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime648 / 1191 vs 906 / 199854.4%45.4%648 / 1191 vs 906 / 1998Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelSobel 1.37/Lukaszewski 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 21 · 04:30A. Sobel46117125113M. Lukaszewski46811101162
WAug 4 · 08:10A. Sobel351113113M. Lukaszewski2671180
WMar 6 · 15:40A. Sobel341112113M. Lukaszewski2261060
WJul 15 · 09:25A. Sobel43111110113M. Lukaszewski28381251
WJun 16 · 06:30A. Sobel331111113M. Lukaszewski218490
A. Sobel10
WSep 22 · 04:10A. Sobel1.124111110113B. Wisniewski5.1011871242WSep 21 · 14:40A. Sobel1.7671111113P. Blocho1.90115491WSep 21 · 13:05A. Sobel1.361111113F. Krcil2.953670WSep 21 · 11:50A. Sobel2.0081111133D. Solilo1.731149111WSep 21 · 10:10A. Sobel1.30711115113M. Zwolinski3.0511881192WSep 21 · 09:00A. Sobel1.951111113B. Czerwinski1.749720WSep 21 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.659760A. Sobel1.171111113WSep 21 · 06:55M. Zwolinski3.70116751A. Sobel1.1691111113WSep 21 · 06:05A. Sobel1.331111113F. Krcil2.955360WSep 21 · 04:30A. Sobel1.25117125113M. Lukaszewski3.05811101162
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 21 · 08:10R. Stapor1.501291111113M. Lukaszewski2.3514117992LSep 21 · 07:20F. Krcil1.76611118113M. Lukaszewski1.9011951152LSep 21 · 05:15B. Wisniewski1.951211143M. Lukaszewski1.75108120LSep 21 · 04:30A. Sobel1.25117125113M. Lukaszewski3.05811101162LSep 21 · 03:00M. Zwolinski2.101111143M. Lukaszewski1.6084120LSep 20 · 14:15K. Kufel1.4071111113M. Lukaszewski2.75118951LSep 20 · 13:25M. Misiak1.601111113M. Lukaszewski2.108340LSep 20 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.751111133M. Lukaszewski1.9547110WSep 20 · 10:30M. Zagajewski1.7069110M. Lukaszewski2.001111133LSep 20 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.63131367113M. Lukaszewski2.151111111152
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