TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Sobel vs Bartlomiej Wisniewski 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
1.12
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111181171012114
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Away
5.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:45 and never touched — 86.3% is still 86.3%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
86.3%
86.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
4111181171012114
H2H Artur Sobel 2–0 Bartlomiej Wisniewski Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 21h before this match
Sobel beat Wisniewski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:45What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.12 (82%)
Sobel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1626 vs Wisniewski 1272
Sobel
Correct
both rated, 354 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 80% vs Wisniewski 40%
Sobel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 90% vs Wisniewski 30%
Sobel
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel -1 · Wisniewski -3
Wisniewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.12 / Wisniewski 5.10
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Sobel)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13174454
Sobel1.12
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 173 of 287
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it78% 123 of 157
Wisniewski5.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 163 of 447
Down 0–1, comes back15% 39 of 261
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSobel2wins
AwayWisniewski0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSobel leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSobelWisniewskiS − WBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.529.0+9.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime648 / 1192 vs 892 / 188254.4%47.4%648 / 1192 vs 892 / 1882Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelSobel 1.12/Wisniewski 5.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.8%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 21 · 07:40A. Sobel331111113B. Wisniewski229760
WSep 15 · 07:40A. Sobel44117411113B. Wisniewski3661111352
A. Sobel10
LSep 22 · 03:00A. Sobel1.37118981M. Lukaszewski2.7561111113WSep 21 · 14:40A. Sobel1.7671111113P. Blocho1.90115491WSep 21 · 13:05A. Sobel1.361111113F. Krcil2.953670WSep 21 · 11:50A. Sobel2.0081111133D. Solilo1.731149111WSep 21 · 10:10A. Sobel1.30711115113M. Zwolinski3.0511881192WSep 21 · 09:00A. Sobel1.951111113B. Czerwinski1.749720WSep 21 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.659760A. Sobel1.171111113WSep 21 · 06:55M. Zwolinski3.70116751A. Sobel1.1691111113WSep 21 · 06:05A. Sobel1.331111113F. Krcil2.955360WSep 21 · 04:30A. Sobel1.25117125113M. Lukaszewski3.05811101162
B. Wisniewski10
LSep 22 · 03:25B. Wisniewski3.008101271B. Sulkowski1.32111210113LSep 21 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.659760A. Sobel1.171111113LSep 21 · 06:30B. Wisniewski2.809780R. Stapor1.361111113WSep 21 · 05:15B. Wisniewski1.951211143M. Lukaszewski1.75108120WSep 21 · 04:10M. Zwolinski1.839690B. Wisniewski1.871111113LSep 21 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.15861151F. Krcil1.5511116113WSep 20 · 14:40B. Wisniewski1.8314128123A. Eliasz1.86121011101LSep 20 · 13:05B. Wisniewski1.865890D. Poloszczanski1.801111113LSep 20 · 11:50B. Wisniewski5.0011971162J. Pruszkowski1.12911117113LSep 20 · 10:10B. Wisniewski2.106990M. Sinicki1.661111113
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