TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Stapor vs Dariusz Wrobel 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
1.45
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117116––––
Dariusz Wrobel
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:07 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1210117116––––
H2H Rafal Stapor 8–8 Dariusz Wrobel Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1450 vs Wrobel 1279
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 80% vs Wrobel 40%
Stapor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 50% vs Wrobel 30%
Stapor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +4 · Wrobel -1
Stapor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.45 / Wrobel 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Stapor)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13170544
Stapor1.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 390 of 620
Up 2–0, closes it96% 197 of 206
Up 1–0, closes it81% 297 of 368
Wrobel2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 60 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back26% 21 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor5wins
AwayWrobel5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor83.3%5 of 6
AwayWrobel100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor6Wrobel4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S2Stapor5Wrobel5n = 10split evenly
S3Stapor7Wrobel3n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10
S4Stapor4Wrobel3n = 7Stapor took 4 of 7
S5Stapor1Wrobel3n = 4Wrobel took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporWrobelS − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.637.5+2.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporWrobelBasisWin rate · lifetime684 / 1213 vs 534 / 111756.4%47.8%684 / 1213 vs 534 / 1117Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.45/Wrobel 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 03:50R. Stapor34611891D. Wrobel3811511113
LMay 30 · 02:00R. Stapor48910111262D. Wrobel471112310113
LMay 29 · 23:30R. Stapor43121031172D. Wrobel521012118113
WMay 12 · 02:20R. Stapor341111123D. Wrobel2385100
LMay 11 · 23:55R. Stapor4669111192D. Wrobel49111188113
WMay 5 · 24:20R. Stapor331111113D. Wrobel225980
WMay 4 · 21:55R. Stapor49127118113D. Wrobel45101181152
WApr 21 · 01:10R. Stapor331111113D. Wrobel217860
LApr 20 · 22:45R. Stapor391211881D. Wrobel4214611113
WMar 28 · 02:35R. Stapor3711411113D. Wrobel36911971
R. Stapor10
WSep 22 · 04:55R. Stapor1.85114117113B. Sulkowski1.8071181172WSep 21 · 08:10R. Stapor1.501291111113M. Lukaszewski2.3514117992WSep 21 · 06:30B. Wisniewski2.809780R. Stapor1.361111113WSep 21 · 05:40M. Zwolinski2.854690R. Stapor1.361111113WSep 21 · 04:55R. Stapor1.751111113F. Krcil1.906590LSep 21 · 03:50R. Stapor2.20411761A. Sobel1.5711611113LSep 20 · 14:35A. Wos1.5311911123R. Stapor2.388117101WSep 20 · 13:20R. Stapor1.83151111113M. Minda1.83178841LSep 20 · 12:05R. Chrzescian1.3361111113R. Stapor3.25118481LSep 20 · 10:50G. Kesik2.001111113R. Stapor1.733980
D. Wrobel10
LSep 22 · 06:05D. Wrobel2.601011731B. Sulkowski1.4212811113WSep 22 · 04:30D. Wrobel1.80111158113M. Lukaszewski1.8598111192LSep 19 · 08:05D. Poloszczanski2.1011117113D. Wrobel1.66671191WSep 19 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.5341014141D. Wrobel2.38111212163WSep 19 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.88612631D. Wrobel1.82111011113LSep 19 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.54116112113D. Wrobel2.2581191132LSep 19 · 03:00M. Minda1.331111113D. Wrobel3.009470LSep 10 · 08:10J. Glanowski1.49111012113D. Wrobel2.455121091LSep 10 · 07:30K. Sulkowski1.8011114113D. Wrobel1.85791191WSep 10 · 05:50B. Wisniewski1.9571141182D. Wrobel1.75117117113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.