TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vojtech Grubr vs Josef Chalupa 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Vojtech Grubr
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117411711811––
Josef Chalupa
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:39 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeJosef Chalupa to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Grubr above · Josef Chalupa below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Josef Chalupa at 64.8%
70 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Grubr 3–7 Josef Chalupa Vojtech Grubr has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:39What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Chalupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Chalupa
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grubr 1659 vs Chalupa 1803
Chalupa
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grubr 80% vs Chalupa 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grubr 70% vs Chalupa 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grubr +2 · Chalupa +4
Chalupa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Chalupa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrubr 2.38 / Chalupa 1.53
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Chalupa)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13173373
Grubr2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 53 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back28% 20 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Chalupa1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite61% won 49 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrubr3wins
AwayChalupa7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChalupa leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrubr25%1 of 4
AwayChalupa66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grubr4Chalupa6n = 10Chalupa took 6 of 10
S2Grubr4Chalupa6n = 10Chalupa took 6 of 10
S3Grubr4Chalupa6n = 10Chalupa took 6 of 10
S4Grubr2Chalupa7n = 9Chalupa took 7 of 9
S5Grubr2Chalupa1n = 3Grubr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrubrChalupaG − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.842.2−6.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrubrChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 465 vs 197 / 35950.5%54.9%235 / 465 vs 197 / 359Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.240.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaGrubr 2.38/Chalupa 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.2%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chalupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 19:15V. Grubr30114781J. Chalupa4071111113
LJul 27 · 19:30V. Grubr1825110J. Chalupa351111133
LMay 11 · 20:43V. Grubr23211731J. Chalupa4111811113
WMay 11 · 18:45V. Grubr548131111113J. Chalupa52111181392
WJan 27 · 14:15V. Grubr49111512113J. Chalupa354131441
LDec 9 · 09:10V. Grubr365101381J. Chalupa45111211113
WDec 9 · 06:45V. Grubr48911116113J. Chalupa4611791182
LNov 24 · 14:15V. Grubr3994111142J. Chalupa46111158113
LOct 27 · 06:15V. Grubr33118681J. Chalupa4071111113
LOct 16 · 07:00V. Grubr281111151J. Chalupa4271113113
V. Grubr10
WSep 22 · 18:15V. Grubr1.731111113A. Radkovsky2.009960WSep 22 · 17:15V. Grubr2.0071111113V. Burylov1.73117581LSep 15 · 20:43S. Rejent1.831111123V. Grubr1.8385100WSep 15 · 19:15J. Dolezal2.2011371192V. Grubr1.61711118113WSep 15 · 18:45V. Grubr2.5012131012113J. Sr1.501411121082WSep 15 · 17:45V. Grubr2.001111113S. Rejent1.735960WSep 8 · 16:19V. Grubr1.91611115113S. Rejent1.8011491182WSep 8 · 15:45V. Grubr1.7351211113J. Senk2.001110791LSep 8 · 14:15O. Mezera2.20117118113V. Grubr1.6171161182LSep 8 · 13:45S. Rejent1.8351111113V. Grubr1.83118681
J. Chalupa10
WSep 22 · 18:45J. Chalupa1.801111113V. Burylov1.918380WSep 22 · 17:45J. Chalupa1.6111811113A. Radkovsky2.20811791WSep 13 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.36111111123O. Kaderabek3.009135101WSep 13 · 07:15O. Kaderabek3.25511851J. Chalupa1.3311811113LSep 13 · 06:45J. Chalupa1.531131261L. Svoboda2.3891114113WSep 13 · 05:45J. Chalupa1.80611511113D. Gasparovic1.9111611882WSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113LSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791
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