TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ladislav Moravec vs Filip Marat 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Ladislav Moravec
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711121010121517––
Filip Marat
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:29 and never touched — 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Marat to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Moravec above · Filip Marat below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 15-17
Point 94 set 4, 15-17 — our read held Filip Marat at 55.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Moravec 12–8 Filip Marat Filip Marat has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:29What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Moravec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-8 in 20
Moravec
Wrong
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1473 vs Marat 1418
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 20% vs Marat 40%
Marat
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 20% vs Marat 40%
Marat
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +1 · Marat -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.61 / Marat 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Moravec)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13173276
Moravec1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 23 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it69% 18 of 26
Marat2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 44 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back40% 25 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back25% 8 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec7wins
AwayMarat3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec71.4%5 of 7
AwayMarat33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec7Marat3n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10
S2Moravec8Marat2n = 10Moravec took 8 of 10
S3Moravec7Marat3n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10
S4Moravec3Marat2n = 5Moravec took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecMaratMoravec − MaratBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.329.3+6.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecMaratBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 271 vs 235 / 52242.1%45%114 / 271 vs 235 / 522Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.61/Marat 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Marat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 13:25L. Moravec3811451172F. Marat50811119113
WAug 19 · 14:35L. Moravec341111123F. Marat2688100
WAug 19 · 13:25L. Moravec4281112113F. Marat351161081
WJul 27 · 10:55L. Moravec331111113F. Marat142750
LJun 2 · 12:25L. Moravec351175121F. Marat3931111143
WMar 12 · 13:55L. Moravec331111113F. Marat236980
WMar 11 · 12:25L. Moravec3851111113F. Marat34115991
WFeb 27 · 12:25L. Moravec331111113F. Marat195950
LDec 4 · 11:00L. Moravec34811871F. Marat3611311113
WDec 4 · 09:55L. Moravec331111113F. Marat179350
L. Moravec10
WSep 22 · 11:55L. Moravec2.75121011113A. Kral1.401012751LSep 22 · 10:55L. Moravec1.839880P. Chlumsky1.831111113LSep 17 · 14:09A. Kral1.501411113L. Moravec2.5012840LSep 17 · 13:25L. Moravec1.4011451172F. Marat2.75811119113LSep 17 · 11:55M. Filipek1.801111412113L. Moravec1.91139111062LSep 17 · 11:25A. Kral1.5311713113L. Moravec2.384111181LSep 11 · 17:55L. Moravec1.3097130D. Sochor3.401111153LSep 11 · 16:55M. Dvorak1.57491111113L. Moravec2.2511114752WSep 11 · 16:25D. Sochor1.675680L. Moravec2.101111113LSep 11 · 15:25L. Moravec2.201011781A. Kral1.6112511113
F. Marat10
LSep 22 · 12:25P. Chlumsky1.57111111153F. Marat2.256713131LSep 22 · 11:25F. Marat1.91155111152A. Kral1.80171169113WSep 18 · 18:00F. Marat1.831111113R. Jamrich1.834590LSep 18 · 17:25J. Dvorak1.7311118113F. Marat2.00861171WSep 18 · 16:25F. Marat2.385121111113D. Tichy1.5311146432LSep 18 · 14:55R. Jamrich1.80111012143F. Marat1.9161210121LSep 17 · 14:40M. Filipek1.831111113F. Marat1.834990WSep 17 · 13:25L. Moravec1.4011451172F. Marat2.75811119113WSep 17 · 12:25F. Marat1.83128145123A. Kral1.8310111211102LSep 17 · 10:55M. Filipek2.00118119133F. Marat1.73711511112
Upcoming Matches
L. Moravec
Nothing scheduled
F. Marat
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