TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Miroslav Vana vs Jan Vasek 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Miroslav Vana
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116117611911113
Jan Vasek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMiroslav Vana above · Jan Vasek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 86 set 5, 11-3
86 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vana 1–0 Jan Vasek Jan Vasek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Vana beat Vasek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasek form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 1.57 / Vasek 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Vana)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13173139
Vana1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 46 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it74% 36 of 49
Vasek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 6 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVana1wins
AwayVasek0wins
Vana leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVanaVasekVana − VasekBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.031.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaVasekBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 351 vs 28 / 7252.7%38.9%185 / 351 vs 28 / 72Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaVana 1.57/Vasek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vana won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 21 · 19:30M. Vana43111110113J. Vasek31851261
M. Vana10
WSep 21 · 19:30J. Vasek2.00851261M. Vana1.73111110113LSep 21 · 19:00M. Vana1.9171060O. Plyska1.801112113LSep 21 · 18:00M. Vana2.2510870L. Tuma1.571211113WSep 19 · 11:15T. Hanke1.5741090M. Vana2.251112113WSep 19 · 10:45M. Vana1.91611136133O. Plyska1.801171111112LSep 19 · 09:45M. Vana1.83116461T. Bertho1.8361111113WSep 9 · 20:39M. Vana1.50111110113J. Hanacek2.50371281LSep 9 · 20:00J. Mejzlik3.004111311113M. Vana1.36119111382LSep 9 · 19:00J. Hanacek2.50115911113M. Vana1.5081111672WSep 9 · 17:30O. Karpisek2.103111141M. Vana1.6711613113
J. Vasek10
LSep 21 · 19:30J. Vasek2.00851261M. Vana1.73111110113WSep 21 · 18:30J. Vasek1.6761111113L. Tuma2.10114791LSep 21 · 17:30J. Vasek2.2547111162O. Plyska1.57111199113LJun 18 · 20:58J. Vasek2.63361171P. Maly1.4411119113LJun 18 · 20:00P. Maly1.4411119113J. Vasek2.63661181WJun 18 · 19:00L. Tuma2.0071211101J. Vasek1.73111013123WJun 18 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer1.36111157122J. Vasek3.00971111143LJun 8 · 20:43J. Vasek3.0013128942J. Tichy1.3611101111113WJun 8 · 19:45E. Ondracek2.108350J. Vasek1.671111113WJun 8 · 18:45P. Maly1.2811136772J. Vasek3.502111111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Vana
J. Vasek
Nothing scheduled
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