TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Jan Vasek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8115111210611––
Miroslav Vana
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vana to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vasek above · Miroslav Vana below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Miroslav Vana at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:15What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vana
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Vasek 1410 vs Vana 1481
Vana
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasek 40% vs Vana 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasek 50% vs Vana 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasek +1 · Vana -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vana form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasek 2.00 / Vana 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vana)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13166889
Vasek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 6 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Vana1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 46 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it74% 36 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasekVanaBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 72 vs 184 / 35038.9%52.6%28 / 72 vs 184 / 350Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaVasek 2.00/Vana 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vana won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Vasek10
WSep 21 · 18:30J. Vasek1.6761111113L. Tuma2.10114791LSep 21 · 17:30J. Vasek2.2547111162O. Plyska1.57111199113LJun 18 · 20:58J. Vasek2.63361171P. Maly1.4411119113LJun 18 · 20:00P. Maly1.4411119113J. Vasek2.63661181WJun 18 · 19:00L. Tuma2.0071211101J. Vasek1.73111013123WJun 18 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer1.36111157122J. Vasek3.00971111143LJun 8 · 20:43J. Vasek3.0013128942J. Tichy1.3611101111113WJun 8 · 19:45E. Ondracek2.108350J. Vasek1.671111113WJun 8 · 18:45P. Maly1.2811136772J. Vasek3.502111111113LJun 8 · 17:15J. Tichy1.441111113J. Vasek2.638740
M. Vana10
LSep 21 · 19:00M. Vana1.9171060O. Plyska1.801112113LSep 21 · 18:00M. Vana2.2510870L. Tuma1.571211113WSep 19 · 11:15T. Hanke1.5741090M. Vana2.251112113WSep 19 · 10:45M. Vana1.91611136133O. Plyska1.801171111112LSep 19 · 09:45M. Vana1.83116461T. Bertho1.8361111113WSep 9 · 20:39M. Vana1.50111110113J. Hanacek2.50371281LSep 9 · 20:00J. Mejzlik3.004111311113M. Vana1.36119111382LSep 9 · 19:00J. Hanacek2.50115911113M. Vana1.5081111672WSep 9 · 17:30O. Karpisek2.103111141M. Vana1.6711613113LSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171
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