TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Jan Vasek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611114117119––
Ladislav Tuma
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:05 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeJan Vasek to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vasek above · Ladislav Tuma below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 70 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jan Vasek at 57.4%
70 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vasek 10–4 Ladislav Tuma Ladislav Tuma has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-4 in 14
Vasek
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasek 1396 vs Tuma 1477
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasek 40% vs Tuma 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasek 40% vs Tuma 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasek -3 · Tuma +1
Vasek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasek 1.67 / Tuma 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Vasek)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13166804
Vasek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Tuma2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 36 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back20% 9 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasek7wins
AwayTuma3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVasek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasek100%3 of 3
AwayTuma42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasek3Tuma7n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S2Vasek8Tuma2n = 10Vasek took 8 of 10
S3Vasek5Tuma5n = 10split evenly
S4Vasek5Tuma4n = 9Vasek took 5 of 9
S5Vasek4Tuma1n = 5Vasek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasekTumaV − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.939.8+2.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasekTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 72 vs 242 / 47838.9%50.6%28 / 72 vs 242 / 478Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasekVasek 1.67/Tuma 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Vasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 18 · 19:00J. Vasek46111013123L. Tuma4071211101
LMar 16 · 21:14J. Vasek35715491L. Tuma46111311113
WMar 16 · 19:45J. Vasek49612911113L. Tuma47111011692
LJan 14 · 19:45J. Vasek31411881L. Tuma4011711113
WJan 12 · 20:00J. Vasek49713117113L. Tuma50111191182
LSep 30 · 20:40J. Vasek4381151182L. Tuma44114117113
WSep 30 · 19:30J. Vasek3741111113L. Tuma33119851
WJul 14 · 19:30J. Vasek45114118113L. Tuma4071161152
WJun 16 · 20:00J. Vasek51911911113L. Tuma4111511592
WJun 12 · 20:00J. Vasek331111113L. Tuma174580
J. Vasek10
LSep 21 · 17:30J. Vasek2.2547111162O. Plyska1.57111199113LJun 18 · 20:58J. Vasek2.63361171P. Maly1.4411119113LJun 18 · 20:00P. Maly1.4411119113J. Vasek2.63661181WJun 18 · 19:00L. Tuma2.0071211101J. Vasek1.73111013123WJun 18 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer1.36111157122J. Vasek3.00971111143LJun 8 · 20:43J. Vasek3.0013128942J. Tichy1.3611101111113WJun 8 · 19:45E. Ondracek2.108350J. Vasek1.671111113WJun 8 · 18:45P. Maly1.2811136772J. Vasek3.502111111113LJun 8 · 17:15J. Tichy1.441111113J. Vasek2.638740LJun 1 · 21:03J. Vasek1.50113851F. Husek2.5071111113
L. Tuma10
WSep 21 · 18:00M. Vana2.2510870L. Tuma1.571211113LSep 20 · 20:15L. Tuma2.10151211022F. Schmidtmayer1.6713101112113LSep 20 · 19:45L. Tuma1.67511851J. Hanacek2.1011811113WSep 20 · 18:15F. Schmidtmayer1.6795111162L. Tuma2.10111193113LSep 20 · 17:45K. Farsky1.531111113L. Tuma2.389590LSep 15 · 17:04M. Soukup1.671111113L. Tuma2.104960WSep 15 · 15:30P. Abraham2.101154111L. Tuma1.6791111133WSep 15 · 15:00L. Tuma1.531111113T. Stejskal2.388960LSep 15 · 14:00L. Tuma1.9141141122M. Soukup1.80115119113LJun 18 · 19:00L. Tuma2.0071211101J. Vasek1.73111013123
Upcoming Matches
J. Vasek
Nothing scheduled
L. Tuma
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