TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Martyniuk vs Yaroslav Kovshun 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Andrii Martyniuk
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111921118611––
Yaroslav Kovshun
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Kovshun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Martyniuk above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 19-21
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 96 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Yaroslav Kovshun at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Martyniuk 4–7 Yaroslav Kovshun Andrii Martyniuk has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kovshun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Kovshun
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martyniuk 1547 vs Kovshun 1596
Kovshun
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martyniuk 40% vs Kovshun 60%
Kovshun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martyniuk 30% vs Kovshun 50%
Kovshun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martyniuk +1 · Kovshun +3
Kovshun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovshun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martyniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartyniuk 1.83 / Kovshun 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kovshun)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13172908
Martyniuk1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kovshun1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartyniuk4wins
AwayKovshun6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKovshun leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartyniuk60%3 of 5
AwayKovshun80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martyniuk5Kovshun5n = 10split evenly
S2Martyniuk3Kovshun7n = 10Kovshun took 7 of 10
S3Martyniuk6Kovshun4n = 10Martyniuk took 6 of 10
S4Martyniuk3Kovshun4n = 7Kovshun took 4 of 7
S5Martyniuk1Kovshun2n = 3Kovshun took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartyniukKovshunM − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.837.6−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartyniukKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 337 vs 337 / 62852.5%53.7%177 / 337 vs 337 / 628Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovshunMartyniuk 1.83/Kovshun 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kovshun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kovshun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 28 · 06:00A. Martyniuk3911611113Y. Kovshun37911891
WApr 12 · 10:05A. Martyniuk331111113Y. Kovshun144460
LMar 25 · 16:40A. Martyniuk2810990Y. Kovshun341211113
LMar 23 · 11:05A. Martyniuk4311811672Y. Kovshun48911611113
LMar 19 · 06:05A. Martyniuk246990Y. Kovshun331111113
LMar 18 · 14:40A. Martyniuk4889121182Y. Kovshun481111105113
LMar 12 · 11:05A. Martyniuk32134871Y. Kovshun44111111113
WFeb 26 · 12:05A. Martyniuk4071111113Y. Kovshun30115591
LFeb 25 · 05:30A. Martyniuk30781141Y. Kovshun3811115113
WFeb 9 · 07:05A. Martyniuk511114312113Y. Kovshun50612111472
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 22 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4076110A. Martyniuk2.751111133LSep 22 · 08:00A. Martyniuk2.1011118862A. Troyan1.67771111113WSep 22 · 07:00O. Volynets1.8011910111A. Martyniuk1.9171112133LSep 22 · 05:30A. Martyniuk3.756950V. Bilobrov1.251111113LSep 21 · 11:30A. Martyniuk2.0011113472D. Khairov1.73671111113LSep 21 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.611181110113A. Martyniuk2.2091181292LSep 21 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.33811156113A. Martyniuk3.25117131122WSep 21 · 06:30A. Martyniuk2.501111133A. Troyan1.5069110LSep 21 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.281111113A. Martyniuk3.508570LSep 19 · 18:00A. Martyniuk2.633131111102B. Zaika1.441111136123
Y. Kovshun10
WSep 22 · 10:00A. Troyan2.751176101Y. Kovshun1.4071111123WSep 22 · 08:30O. Volynets1.837690Y. Kovshun1.831111113WSep 22 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.38114661Y. Kovshun1.5391111113LSep 22 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.6781111113Y. Kovshun2.10119651LSep 19 · 12:05Y. Makovka2.251615710113Y. Kovshun1.571413111282LSep 19 · 10:35Y. Kovshun2.257101191V. Kryvenko1.5711127113LSep 19 · 08:35A. Kotiash2.2011116113Y. Kovshun1.61961141WSep 19 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.809660Y. Kovshun1.911111113WSep 19 · 05:35I. Efimenko1.44411771Y. Kovshun2.6311811113LSep 18 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.7311119123Y. Kovshun2.009711101
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