TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykhailo Senyk vs Ruslan Skoropad 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Mykhailo Senyk
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511114311611––
Ruslan Skoropad
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeRuslan Skoropad to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Ruslan Skoropad below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 62 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ruslan Skoropad at 72.5%
62 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 5–16 Ruslan Skoropad Mykhailo Senyk has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:50What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Skoropad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-16 in 21
Skoropad
Correct
gap of 11 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senyk 656 vs Skoropad 715
Skoropad
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 60% vs Skoropad 40%
Senyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 60% vs Skoropad 40%
Senyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk +2 · Skoropad -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Skoropad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skoropad form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 3.25 / Skoropad 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Skoropad)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13172341
Senyk3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog16% won 18 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back4% 3 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 54
Skoropad1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 25 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenyk2wins
AwaySkoropad8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkoropad leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenyk50%2 of 4
AwaySkoropad100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senyk4Skoropad6n = 10Skoropad took 6 of 10
S2Senyk4Skoropad6n = 10Skoropad took 6 of 10
S3Senyk6Skoropad4n = 10Senyk took 6 of 10
S4Senyk2Skoropad5n = 7Skoropad took 5 of 7
S5Senyk0Skoropad3n = 3Skoropad took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenykSkoropadSenyk − SkoropadBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.039.8−5.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykSkoropadBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 357 vs 59 / 11741.7%50.4%149 / 357 vs 59 / 117Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkoropadSenyk 3.25/Skoropad 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Skoropad · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skoropad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 05:25M. Senyk28135371R. Skoropad44111111113
LAug 12 · 14:25M. Senyk3831251172R. Skoropad501110117113
LAug 5 · 16:25M. Senyk31115691R. Skoropad4071111113
LMay 27 · 07:35M. Senyk4237111562R. Skoropad551111913113
WMay 20 · 07:05M. Senyk331111113R. Skoropad155460
LMay 13 · 06:55M. Senyk164660R. Skoropad331111113
WMay 12 · 13:25M. Senyk331111113R. Skoropad205690
LApr 4 · 05:25M. Senyk391391161R. Skoropad4415117113
LApr 2 · 07:25M. Senyk49511119132R. Skoropad55119911153
LApr 1 · 13:55M. Senyk312111171R. Skoropad4211137113
M. Senyk10
WSep 22 · 08:55M. Senyk7.001011115113O. Martynenko1.0812621172WSep 22 · 07:25M. Senyk1.61116137113V. Sydorchuk2.20911111182LSep 22 · 05:55M. Senyk5.001014751B. Pyrtyk1.14121211113LSep 22 · 04:25M. Senyk7.00781191Y. Shcherbak1.0811115113WSep 19 · 10:55M. Senyk1.2813116113M. Kornijchuk3.501191181WSep 19 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.118690M. Senyk6.001111113LSep 19 · 07:55M. Senyk3.005149101O. Bolnyh1.36111211123LSep 19 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk1.171111153M. Senyk4.5046130WSep 19 · 05:25M. Senyk1.67781111113V. Sydorchuk2.1011114872WSep 18 · 17:55M. Senyk1.441111113V. Moroz2.633880
R. Skoropad10
LSep 22 · 09:25R. Skoropad1.6191151372V. Sydorchuk2.201181111113WSep 22 · 08:25R. Skoropad2.501112113Y. Shcherbak1.5081060LSep 22 · 06:55R. Skoropad2.504740O. Martynenko1.501111113LSep 22 · 04:55R. Skoropad3.259040B. Pyrtyk1.331111113WAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192LAug 13 · 08:55V. Sydorchuk2.6311124113R. Skoropad1.440101191LAug 13 · 07:55R. Skoropad1.831111961O. Bolnyh1.8313811113LAug 13 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk1.441111113R. Skoropad2.634340WAug 13 · 05:25R. Skoropad1.36111111113M. Senyk3.00135371WAug 12 · 17:55O. Kulbach5.50111575102R. Skoropad1.138131111123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.