TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Martynenko vs Yuriy Shcherbak 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleh Martynenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1195111210119––
Yuriy Shcherbak
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYuriy Shcherbak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Martynenko above · Yuriy Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Yuriy Shcherbak at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Martynenko 3–7 Yuriy Shcherbak Oleh Martynenko has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:50What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Martynenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Shcherbak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martynenko 863 vs Shcherbak 920
Shcherbak
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martynenko 60% vs Shcherbak 80%
Shcherbak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martynenko 40% vs Shcherbak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martynenko -1 · Shcherbak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martynenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartynenko 1.73 / Shcherbak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Martynenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13172337
Martynenko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite37% won 23 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it63% 17 of 27
Shcherbak2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 24 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartynenko3wins
AwayShcherbak7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderShcherbak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartynenko75%3 of 4
AwayShcherbak100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martynenko4Shcherbak6n = 10Shcherbak took 6 of 10
S2Martynenko5Shcherbak5n = 10split evenly
S3Martynenko6Shcherbak4n = 10Martynenko took 6 of 10
S4Martynenko1Shcherbak4n = 5Shcherbak took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartynenkoShcherbakM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.735.9−4.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartynenkoShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 323 vs 146 / 27144.3%53.9%143 / 323 vs 146 / 271Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.035.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartynenkoMartynenko 1.73/Shcherbak 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Martynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Martynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 05:55O. Martynenko361111143Y. Shcherbak2888120
LAug 21 · 16:25O. Martynenko29116751Y. Shcherbak3961111113
WAug 18 · 08:25O. Martynenko331111113Y. Shcherbak259880
LAug 17 · 13:55O. Martynenko27461161Y. Shcherbak4011117113
LAug 15 · 07:25O. Martynenko4041171172Y. Shcherbak42113116113
LAug 14 · 14:55O. Martynenko389811101Y. Shcherbak3911115123
LJul 23 · 07:25O. Martynenko3551112612Y. Shcherbak481151011113
LJul 22 · 14:55O. Martynenko195860Y. Shcherbak331111113
LJul 16 · 09:55O. Martynenko2012260Y. Shcherbak361411113
WJul 7 · 09:05O. Martynenko401118113Y. Shcherbak2991640
O. Martynenko10
LSep 22 · 08:55M. Senyk7.001011115113O. Martynenko1.0812621172WSep 22 · 07:55O. Martynenko1.44131310113B. Pyrtyk2.6311111291WSep 22 · 06:55R. Skoropad2.504740O. Martynenko1.501111113WSep 22 · 05:25O. Martynenko1.7311115113V. Sydorchuk2.00691141LAug 22 · 10:25O. Martynenko1.3351111792B. Pyrtyk3.25114711113LAug 22 · 08:55O. Martynenko1.7311117732A. Nikolenko2.00751111113LAug 22 · 07:25O. Martynenko1.4410970V. Sydorchuk2.631211113WAug 22 · 05:55O. Martynenko2.201111143Y. Shcherbak1.6188120LAug 22 · 04:25O. Martynenko3.757880V. Ivanytskyi1.251111113LAug 21 · 18:25O. Martynenko2.109640I. Fokin1.67111153
Y. Shcherbak10
WSep 22 · 09:55B. Pyrtyk2.20107100Y. Shcherbak1.611211123LSep 22 · 08:25R. Skoropad2.501112113Y. Shcherbak1.5081060WSep 22 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk4.00911761Y. Shcherbak1.2211811113WSep 22 · 04:25M. Senyk7.00781191Y. Shcherbak1.0811115113WSep 17 · 10:25V. Ivanytskyi1.50511981Y. Shcherbak2.5011711113LSep 17 · 09:25Y. Shcherbak3.4010990O. Maslovskyi1.301211113LSep 17 · 08:25Y. Shcherbak3.251011771M. Dunas1.3312711113LSep 17 · 06:55Y. Shcherbak6.001151051A. Nikolenko1.1191112113WSep 17 · 04:55Y. Shcherbak1.6791311113B. Pyrtyk2.101111681LAug 22 · 05:55O. Martynenko2.201111143Y. Shcherbak1.6188120
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.