TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jacek Mitas vs Kamil Kostyk 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Jacek Mitas
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191171210––––
Kamil Kostyk
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeKamil Kostyk to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJacek Mitas above · Kamil Kostyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 60 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Kamil Kostyk at 61.7%
60 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Mitas 2–0 Kamil Kostyk Kamil Kostyk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Mitas beat Kostyk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:08What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Mitas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mitas 1639 vs Kostyk 1426
Mitas
Correct
both rated, 214 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mitas 100% vs Kostyk 40%
Mitas
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mitas 60% vs Kostyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mitas +5 · Kostyk -2
Mitas
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Mitas) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitas form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMitas 1.36 / Kostyk 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Mitas)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13170367
Mitas1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 53 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it83% 39 of 47
Kostyk3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 48 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMitas2wins
AwayKostyk0wins
Mitas leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMitasKostykM − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.520.5+13.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMitasKostykBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 249 vs 234 / 47346.2%49.5%115 / 249 vs 234 / 473Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MitasMitas 1.36/Kostyk 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Mitas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mitas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 21 · 23:20J. Mitas341111123K. Kostyk2697100
WSep 21 · 20:30J. Mitas331111113K. Kostyk155370
J. Mitas10
WSep 21 · 21:50J. Mitas2.001112113K. Staszczyk1.7381050WSep 21 · 21:25J. Mitas2.0011113113J. Chmielowski1.73861191WSep 21 · 20:30K. Kostyk2.205370J. Mitas1.611111113WSep 21 · 19:15J. Mitas1.501111113M. Minda2.504850WSep 21 · 18:05P. Blocho2.2539100J. Mitas1.571111123LSep 21 · 16:55J. Chmielowski1.80411116113J. Mitas1.9111541162LSep 21 · 15:25M. Kolek2.0011114113J. Mitas1.73951161LSep 12 · 01:10P. Jendrzejewski1.5011116113J. Mitas2.50771151LSep 12 · 24:45J. Mitas2.00116661K. Staszczyk1.7331111113WSep 11 · 23:55J. Mitas1.6711118133M. Marchlewski2.106911111
K. Kostyk10
LSep 21 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.5712911123K. Kostyk2.2510118101LSep 21 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.856880J. Chmielowski1.361111113WSep 21 · 21:00M. Kolek1.409111211102K. Kostyk2.75116145123LSep 21 · 20:30K. Kostyk2.205370J. Mitas1.611111113WSep 21 · 18:50K. Kostyk1.91461111143P. Blocho1.80111165122LSep 21 · 17:40K. Kostyk2.63114591J. Chmielowski1.4451111113WSep 21 · 16:05K. Kostyk2.6311111123M. Kolek1.447118101LSep 21 · 15:00K. Kostyk1.8071111842M. Minda1.91117811113WSep 20 · 23:20A. Mugowski2.3066100K. Kostyk1.551111123WSep 20 · 22:35P. Krukar2.2061120K. Kostyk1.571111143
Upcoming Matches
J. Mitas
Sep 22 · 15:25J. Mitas—M. Minda——Sep 22 · 16:55J. Mitas—J. Chmielowski——Sep 22 · 18:05J. Mitas—P. Blocho——Sep 22 · 19:15J. Mitas—K. Rudomina——Sep 22 · 20:30J. Mitas—L. Pietraszko——Sep 22 · 21:25J. Mitas—J. Chmielowski——Sep 22 · 21:50J. Mitas—K. Staszczyk——Sep 22 · 23:20J. Mitas—L. Pietraszko——Sep 23 · 24:10J. Mitas—K. Rudomina——
K. Kostyk
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.