TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Brozek vs Wojciech Urban 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161412111––––
Wojciech Urban
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:34 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timePiotr Brozek to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Wojciech Urban below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-1
Point 55 set 3, 11-1 — our read held Piotr Brozek at 61.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 3–2 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1458 vs Urban 1316
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 80% vs Urban 40%
Brozek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 60% vs Urban 40%
Brozek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +1 · Urban -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.61 / Urban 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Brozek)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13169864
Brozek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 53 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it100% 29 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it82% 40 of 49
Urban2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 214 of 521
Down 0–1, comes back19% 55 of 284
Down 0–2, comes back7% 11 of 168
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBrozek3wins
AwayUrban2wins
3 of 5 to a deciderBrozek leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozek75%3 of 4
AwayUrbann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek4Urban1n = 5Brozek took 4 of 5
S2Brozek2Urban3n = 5Urban took 3 of 5
S3Brozek2Urban3n = 5Urban took 3 of 5
S4Brozek1Urban2n = 3Urban took 2 of 3
S5Brozek2Urban1n = 3Brozek took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricBrozekUrbanB − UBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match41.838.8+3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 173 vs 775 / 164654.9%47.1%95 / 173 vs 775 / 1646Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.61/Urban 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 22 · 06:05P. Brozek361114113W. Urban1961210
LSep 8 · 11:50P. Brozek228680W. Urban331111113
WSep 8 · 03:50P. Brozek47118611113W. Urban4491111672
LMar 24 · 02:30P. Brozek52118111392W. Urban47311715113
WMar 23 · 20:30P. Brozek52151176133W. Urban511351111112
P. Brozek10
WSep 22 · 04:30P. Brozek1.6771111113P. Przewlocki2.10115961LSep 22 · 03:50R. Niemiec2.10117119123P. Brozek1.67611711102WSep 11 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.7167140P. Brozek2.001111163WSep 11 · 01:10M. Lebek1.7410670P. Brozek1.911211113WSep 11 · 24:25P. Brozek1.57871112113J. Nowak2.20111181072WSep 10 · 22:50P. Brozek1.22111194123R. Komandzik3.65961111102WSep 10 · 22:00K. Durak1.77912781P. Brozek1.93111011113LSep 10 · 20:45P. Brozek1.958790P. Zemla1.751111113LSep 10 · 19:10P. Brozek2.8768111142P. Gasiorski1.37111197113LSep 10 · 18:00P. Brozek2.178111110122K. Durak1.56119912143
W. Urban10
LSep 22 · 04:55R. Niemiec1.911181311113W. Urban1.80131111882WSep 22 · 03:25O. Jadach1.805111213112W. Urban1.911181411133LSep 21 · 04:40W. Urban1.852550P. Kurek1.801111113LSep 21 · 03:05P. Adamus1.56111111113W. Urban2.05813471WSep 21 · 02:20G. Marud1.655860W. Urban1.901111113LSep 21 · 01:30W. Urban1.658112101O. Vincenec1.9111711123WSep 21 · 24:20W. Urban1.78111116113M. Baron1.9311571192WSep 20 · 22:40W. Urban2.0081111113P. Kurek1.71118651LSep 20 · 21:05P. Adamus1.661112113W. Urban2.1041060LSep 20 · 20:20M. Baron2.05711911123W. Urban1.68116113102
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