TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oskar Jadach vs Wojciech Urban 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511118121413111113
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:45 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOskar Jadach above · Wojciech Urban below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 109 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Oskar Jadach at 54.3%
109 points played in total.
H2H Oskar Jadach 7–8 Wojciech Urban Oskar Jadach has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:45What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jadach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1422 vs Urban 1346
Jadach
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 40% vs Urban 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 30% vs Urban 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach -2 · Urban -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.80 / Urban 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jadach)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13169638
Jadach1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 332 of 488
Up 2–0, closes it95% 157 of 166
Up 1–0, closes it86% 233 of 271
Urban1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 213 of 519
Down 0–1, comes back19% 55 of 283
Down 0–2, comes back7% 11 of 167
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach5wins
AwayUrban5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadachn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayUrban50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach2Urban8n = 10Urban took 8 of 10
S2Jadach6Urban4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S3Jadach6Urban4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S4Jadach6Urban4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S5Jadach3Urban3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachUrbanJ − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match46.547.4−0.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime799 / 1324 vs 775 / 164460.4%47.1%799 / 1324 vs 775 / 1644Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.80/Urban 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 03:25O. Jadach525111213112W. Urban571181411133
WJul 18 · 14:20O. Jadach47311155133W. Urban551191311112
LJul 18 · 08:10O. Jadach4311127582W. Urban529101111113
LMay 1 · 07:35O. Jadach5513101111102W. Urban48151254123
LMar 31 · 22:50O. Jadach376121181W. Urban4511149113
WMar 31 · 15:10O. Jadach541214611113W. Urban49141211392
WMar 30 · 01:30O. Jadach4612716113W. Urban3710111421
WMar 29 · 19:30O. Jadach4161111133W. Urban361177111
LJan 6 · 01:20O. Jadach408911121W. Urban4311117143
WJan 5 · 21:20O. Jadach50611813123W. Urban521191111102
O. Jadach10
LSep 22 · 04:10M. Skuril2.38118114113O. Jadach1.5391191182LSep 21 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.8581111113O. Jadach1.80118691LSep 21 · 15:30P. Ostachowski5.0611711113O. Jadach1.13511951WSep 21 · 14:45O. Jadach1.351111113J. Kaczmarek3.009870WSep 21 · 13:10O. Jadach1.371511411143W. Tobiasz2.90176118122LSep 21 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.9181914113O. Jadach1.8011171231LSep 21 · 11:05O. Jadach1.455580J. Kaczmarek2.451111113LSep 21 · 09:30O. Jadach—9980P. Ostachowski—1111113LSep 21 · 08:20O. Jadach1.91612851R. Skotniczny1.80111011113WSep 21 · 06:45O. Jadach1.831511113G. Wichowski1.8313980
W. Urban10
LSep 21 · 04:40W. Urban1.852550P. Kurek1.801111113LSep 21 · 03:05P. Adamus1.56111111113W. Urban2.05813471WSep 21 · 02:20G. Marud1.655860W. Urban1.901111113LSep 21 · 01:30W. Urban1.658112101O. Vincenec1.9111711123WSep 21 · 24:20W. Urban1.78111116113M. Baron1.9311571192WSep 20 · 22:40W. Urban2.0081111113P. Kurek1.71118651LSep 20 · 21:05P. Adamus1.661112113W. Urban2.1041060LSep 20 · 20:20M. Baron2.05711911123W. Urban1.68116113102LSep 20 · 19:30W. Urban1.76111481162O. Vincenec1.95916112113WSep 20 · 18:20W. Urban1.951111113G. Marud1.769460
Upcoming Matches
O. Jadach
Sep 22 · 05:15O. Jadach1.73P. Przewlocki2.00—Sep 22 · 06:30O. Jadach1.57R. Niemiec2.25—Sep 22 · 07:45O. Jadach1.73P. Brozek2.00—Sep 22 · 09:25O. Jadach1.80W. Urban1.91—Sep 22 · 10:10O. Jadach1.73P. Brozek2.00—Sep 22 · 11:25O. Jadach1.73P. Przewlocki2.00—Sep 22 · 12:40O. Jadach1.57R. Niemiec2.25—Sep 22 · 13:55O. Jadach—M. Skuril——
W. Urban
Sep 22 · 06:05W. Urban2.20P. Brozek1.61—Sep 22 · 07:20W. Urban1.61P. Przewlocki2.20—Sep 22 · 08:35W. Urban1.73M. Skuril2.00—Sep 22 · 09:25W. Urban1.91O. Jadach1.80—Sep 22 · 11:00W. Urban1.80R. Niemiec1.91—Sep 22 · 12:15W. Urban—M. Skuril——Sep 22 · 13:30W. Urban1.61P. Przewlocki2.20—Sep 22 · 14:40W. Urban2.25P. Brozek1.57—
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