TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Rafal Skotniczny
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
81119171412113––
Oskar Jadach
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
81119171412113––
H2H Rafal Skotniczny 24–12 Oskar Jadach Oskar Jadach has won 12 of their 36 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Skotniczny beat Jadach 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:25What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jadach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-12 in 36
Skotniczny
Correct
gap of 12 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skotniczny 1458 vs Jadach 1464
Jadach
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skotniczny 40% vs Jadach 20%
Skotniczny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skotniczny 50% vs Jadach 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skotniczny -2 · Jadach -3
Jadach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skotniczny) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotniczny 1.91 / Jadach 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skotniczny)+5.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13167444
Skotniczny1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 65 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back29% 19 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Jadach1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 332 of 488
Up 2–0, closes it95% 157 of 166
Up 1–0, closes it86% 233 of 271
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkotniczny7wins
AwayJadach3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkotniczny leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotniczny77.8%7 of 9
AwayJadachn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotniczny9Jadach1n = 10Skotniczny took 9 of 10
S2Skotniczny7Jadach3n = 10Skotniczny took 7 of 10
S3Skotniczny4Jadach6n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S4Skotniczny5Jadach3n = 8Skotniczny took 5 of 8
S5Skotniczny1Jadach2n = 3Jadach took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkotnicznyJadachS − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match43.036.1+6.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicznyJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime608 / 1051 vs 804 / 132657.9%60.6%608 / 1051 vs 804 / 1326Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznySkotniczny 1.91/Jadach 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skotniczny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 08:20R. Skotniczny43111011113O. Jadach31612851
WSep 18 · 12:20R. Skotniczny48111178113O. Jadach4194111162
WSep 18 · 08:20R. Skotniczny371511113O. Jadach2713590
LSep 3 · 12:20R. Skotniczny52131110992O. Jadach531181211113
WSep 3 · 08:20R. Skotniczny50111013163O. Jadach4361211141
LAug 27 · 14:20R. Skotniczny539111111112O. Jadach46114135133
WAug 27 · 06:20R. Skotniczny351113113O. Jadach2391130
WAug 3 · 14:20R. Skotniczny4011117113O. Jadach34681191
LAug 3 · 06:20R. Skotniczny30117661O. Jadach3961111113
WJul 17 · 14:20R. Skotniczny4211119113O. Jadach24151171
R. Skotniczny10
LSep 21 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.6041180W. Tobiasz2.151113113LSep 21 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.83111411113R. Skotniczny1.86916631WSep 21 · 08:20O. Jadach1.91612851R. Skotniczny1.80111011113LSep 21 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.369121291J. Kaczmarek2.85111014113WSep 21 · 06:20R. Skotniczny—1211113P. Ostachowski—10970WSep 18 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.401111113W. Tobiasz2.705980WSep 18 · 15:05P. Slosarczyk2.40119841R. Skotniczny1.4771111113LSep 18 · 14:20G. Wichowski1.80111111113R. Skotniczny1.90134761LSep 18 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.54116611102M. Paszkiewicz2.25811116123WSep 18 · 12:20R. Skotniczny2.10111178113O. Jadach1.6594111162
O. Jadach10
LSep 21 · 11:05O. Jadach1.455580J. Kaczmarek2.451111113LSep 21 · 09:30O. Jadach—9980P. Ostachowski—1111113LSep 21 · 08:20O. Jadach1.91612851R. Skotniczny1.80111011113WSep 21 · 06:45O. Jadach1.831511113G. Wichowski1.8313980LSep 21 · 05:30O. Jadach1.35891191W. Tobiasz2.9511116113WSep 20 · 16:20M. Oracz1.95119681O. Jadach1.7581111113WSep 20 · 15:30P. Mecik2.901161051O. Jadach1.3551112113WSep 20 · 14:45O. Jadach1.201111113R. Adach3.904880WSep 20 · 13:10O. Jadach1.82661111133K. Slawinski1.88111197112LSep 18 · 12:20R. Skotniczny2.10111178113O. Jadach1.6594111162
Upcoming Matches
R. Skotniczny
O. Jadach
Sep 21 · 13:10O. Jadach1.37W. Tobiasz2.90—Sep 21 · 14:45O. Jadach1.35J. Kaczmarek3.00—Sep 21 · 16:20O. Jadach1.76G. Wichowski1.90—Sep 22 · 03:25O. Jadach1.80W. Urban1.91—Sep 22 · 04:10O. Jadach1.53M. Skuril2.38—Sep 22 · 05:15O. Jadach1.73P. Przewlocki2.00—Sep 22 · 06:30O. Jadach1.57R. Niemiec2.25—Sep 22 · 07:45O. Jadach1.73P. Brozek2.00—Sep 22 · 09:25O. Jadach1.80W. Urban1.91—Sep 22 · 10:10O. Jadach1.73P. Brozek2.00—
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