TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Rafal Skotniczny
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111113811––––
Wojciech Tobiasz
Away
2.15
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:26 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeRafal Skotniczny to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
4111113811––––
H2H Rafal Skotniczny 43–22 Wojciech Tobiasz Wojciech Tobiasz has won 22 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:26What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Skotniczny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-22 in 65
Skotniczny
Wrong
gap of 21 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skotniczny 1481 vs Tobiasz 1260
Skotniczny
Wrong
both rated, 221 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skotniczny 60% vs Tobiasz 20%
Skotniczny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skotniczny 60% vs Tobiasz 30%
Skotniczny
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skotniczny -1 · Tobiasz -3
Tobiasz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Skotniczny) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tobiasz form (20%) is below what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotniczny 1.60 / Tobiasz 2.15
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Skotniczny)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13167454
Skotniczny1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 201 of 316
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it81% 151 of 187
Tobiasz2.15
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 78 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkotniczny8wins
AwayTobiasz2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkotniczny leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotniczny100%5 of 5
AwayTobiasz40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotniczny5Tobiasz5n = 10split evenly
S2Skotniczny7Tobiasz3n = 10Skotniczny took 7 of 10
S3Skotniczny6Tobiasz4n = 10Skotniczny took 6 of 10
S4Skotniczny3Tobiasz4n = 7Tobiasz took 4 of 7
S5Skotniczny4Tobiasz0n = 4Skotniczny took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkotnicznyTobiaszS − TBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.934.7+6.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicznyTobiaszBasisWin rate · lifetime608 / 1050 vs 319 / 70057.9%45.6%608 / 1050 vs 319 / 700Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznySkotniczny 1.60/Tobiasz 2.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tobiasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 16:40R. Skotniczny331111113W. Tobiasz225980
WSep 18 · 10:40R. Skotniczny49911117113W. Tobiasz4411861182
WSep 7 · 16:40R. Skotniczny4281211113W. Tobiasz311110731
WSep 7 · 10:40R. Skotniczny46411911113W. Tobiasz3711711532
LAug 3 · 13:30R. Skotniczny391191181W. Tobiasz4113116113
WAug 3 · 07:30R. Skotniczny331111113W. Tobiasz176920
LJun 29 · 17:05R. Skotniczny205690W. Tobiasz331111113
WJun 29 · 08:45R. Skotniczny521191110113W. Tobiasz4381191232
WJun 15 · 12:45R. Skotniczny45111112113W. Tobiasz30751441
WJun 15 · 10:20R. Skotniczny50111197123W. Tobiasz49981111102
R. Skotniczny10
LSep 21 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.83111411113R. Skotniczny1.86916631WSep 21 · 08:20O. Jadach1.91612851R. Skotniczny1.80111011113LSep 21 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.369121291J. Kaczmarek2.85111014113WSep 21 · 06:20R. Skotniczny—1211113P. Ostachowski—10970WSep 18 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.401111113W. Tobiasz2.705980WSep 18 · 15:05P. Slosarczyk2.40119841R. Skotniczny1.4771111113LSep 18 · 14:20G. Wichowski1.80111111113R. Skotniczny1.90134761LSep 18 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.54116611102M. Paszkiewicz2.25811116123WSep 18 · 12:20R. Skotniczny2.10111178113O. Jadach1.6594111162WSep 18 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.42911117113W. Tobiasz2.6511861182
W. Tobiasz10
LSep 21 · 11:30P. Ostachowski1.7111611113W. Tobiasz2.00811651LSep 21 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek1.861111411113W. Tobiasz1.8313511872LSep 21 · 07:55G. Wichowski1.3311117123W. Tobiasz2.959911101LSep 21 · 06:20P. Ostachowski—101111113W. Tobiasz—128661WSep 21 · 05:30O. Jadach1.35891191W. Tobiasz2.9511116113LSep 18 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.401111113W. Tobiasz2.705980WSep 18 · 15:55M. Paszkiewicz1.6811811462W. Tobiasz2.05811311113WSep 18 · 13:55P. Slosarczyk1.95912951W. Tobiasz1.76111011113LSep 18 · 13:10O. Jadach1.4211611113W. Tobiasz2.55411671LSep 18 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.42911117113W. Tobiasz2.6511861182
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