TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13152952
Played Sep 18Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.42
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114611116117––
Wojciech Tobiasz
Away
2.55
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:53 and never touched — 74.3% is still 74.3%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
74.3%
74.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
114611116117––
H2H Oskar Jadach 18–14 Wojciech Tobiasz Wojciech Tobiasz has won 14 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (64%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-14 in 32
Jadach
Correct
gap of 4 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1466 vs Tobiasz 1253
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 213 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 20% vs Tobiasz 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 50% vs Tobiasz 20%
Jadach
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach -4 · Tobiasz -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tobiasz form (20%) is below what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.42 / Tobiasz 2.55
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Jadach)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13152952
Jadach1.42
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 325 of 479
Up 2–0, closes it94% 153 of 162
Up 1–0, closes it86% 227 of 265
Tobiasz2.55
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 79 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back20% 22 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach5wins
AwayTobiasz5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach75%3 of 4
AwayTobiasz66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach4Tobiasz6n = 10Tobiasz took 6 of 10
S2Jadach5Tobiasz5n = 10split evenly
S3Jadach5Tobiasz5n = 10split evenly
S4Jadach4Tobiasz4n = 8split evenly
S5Jadach2Tobiasz1n = 3Jadach took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachTobiaszJ − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.439.0−0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachTobiaszBasisWin rate · lifetime798 / 1316 vs 327 / 71160.6%46%798 / 1316 vs 327 / 711Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.42/Tobiasz 2.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.4%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 05:30O. Jadach4011117113W. Tobiasz29391161
WSep 4 · 12:20O. Jadach4311117143W. Tobiasz408911121
LSep 4 · 08:20O. Jadach401212971W. Tobiasz46141011113
LAug 21 · 14:45O. Jadach4011581152W. Tobiasz45411118113
WAug 21 · 11:05O. Jadach44561111113W. Tobiasz3711112942
LAug 3 · 17:05O. Jadach30941161W. Tobiasz4211119113
WAug 3 · 08:45O. Jadach521011119113W. Tobiasz4712871192
WJul 31 · 14:20O. Jadach331111113W. Tobiasz248790
LJul 31 · 09:05O. Jadach381251381W. Tobiasz47141111113
LJul 27 · 11:30O. Jadach249780W. Tobiasz331111113
O. Jadach10
LSep 18 · 12:20R. Skotniczny2.10111178113O. Jadach1.6594111162LSep 18 · 11:05O. Jadach1.50151111892M. Paszkiewicz2.40178211113LSep 18 · 09:30O. Jadach1.833880G. Wichowski1.871111113LSep 18 · 08:20O. Jadach1.8013590R. Skotniczny1.851511113WSep 18 · 06:45O. Jadach1.281111113P. Slosarczyk3.358670WSep 18 · 05:30O. Jadach1.4211117113W. Tobiasz2.60391161WSep 17 · 08:00O. Vincenec2.60143751O. Jadach1.39121111113WSep 17 · 07:10P. Adamus2.3614780O. Jadach1.481611113WSep 17 · 06:25O. Jadach1.2811611113O. Sokolowski3.40711681LSep 17 · 04:50O. Jadach1.756470M. Lebek1.901111113
W. Tobiasz10
WSep 18 · 13:55P. Slosarczyk1.95912951W. Tobiasz1.76111011113LSep 18 · 11:30G. Wichowski1.36491111143W. Tobiasz2.95111198122LSep 18 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.42911117113W. Tobiasz2.6511861182LSep 18 · 09:55M. Paszkiewicz1.70113119113W. Tobiasz2.0561131132WSep 18 · 07:55P. Slosarczyk1.95511671W. Tobiasz1.7611611113LSep 18 · 07:10G. Wichowski1.361111113W. Tobiasz2.958560LSep 18 · 05:30O. Jadach1.4211117113W. Tobiasz2.60391161LSep 14 · 17:05W. Tobiasz3.0041111152J. Pruszkowski1.36116119113LSep 14 · 15:30W. Tobiasz2.60113541G. Wichowski1.41111111113WSep 14 · 14:20W. Tobiasz1.8191111113P. Mecik1.83118981
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