TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Piotr Ostachowski
Home
1.71
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118611116115––
Wojciech Tobiasz
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
118611116115––
H2H Piotr Ostachowski 1–0 Wojciech Tobiasz Wojciech Tobiasz has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Ostachowski beat Tobiasz 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ostachowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ostachowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOstachowski 1.71 / Tobiasz 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ostachowski)+0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13169294
Ostachowski1.71
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Tobiasz2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 78 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOstachowski1wins
AwayTobiasz0wins
Ostachowski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOstachowskiTobiaszO − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.032.0+11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOstachowskiTobiaszBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 41 vs 320 / 70114.6%45.7%6 / 41 vs 320 / 701Avg sets wonper match1.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match29.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OstachowskiOstachowski 1.71/Tobiasz 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ostachowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ostachowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 21 · 06:20P. Ostachowski43101111113W. Tobiasz32128661
P. Ostachowski10
WSep 21 · 10:20G. Wichowski1.29116681P. Ostachowski3.3291111113WSep 21 · 09:30O. Jadach—9980P. Ostachowski—1111113WSep 21 · 08:45P. Ostachowski—1111113J. Kaczmarek—9650WSep 21 · 06:20P. Ostachowski—101111113W. Tobiasz—128661LSep 21 · 06:20R. Skotniczny—1211113P. Ostachowski—10970LSep 16 · 24:10P. Ostachowski4.451188121K. Golaszewski1.1481111143LSep 15 · 23:20P. Ostachowski4.1511611732J. Rolak1.18911911113LSep 15 · 21:55P. Ostachowski5.1016660M. Kowalczyk1.111811113LSep 15 · 21:30P. Ostachowski5.209890D. Kotwica1.101111113LSep 15 · 20:30P. Ostachowski4.550J. Rolak1.143
W. Tobiasz10
WSep 21 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.6041180W. Tobiasz2.151113113LSep 21 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek1.861111411113W. Tobiasz1.8313511872LSep 21 · 07:55G. Wichowski1.3311117123W. Tobiasz2.959911101LSep 21 · 06:20P. Ostachowski—101111113W. Tobiasz—128661WSep 21 · 05:30O. Jadach1.35891191W. Tobiasz2.9511116113LSep 18 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.401111113W. Tobiasz2.705980WSep 18 · 15:55M. Paszkiewicz1.6811811462W. Tobiasz2.05811311113WSep 18 · 13:55P. Slosarczyk1.95912951W. Tobiasz1.76111011113LSep 18 · 13:10O. Jadach1.4211611113W. Tobiasz2.55411671LSep 18 · 11:30G. Wichowski1.36491111143W. Tobiasz2.95111198122
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