TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Oracz
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911611811––
Oskar Jadach
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
118911611811––
H2H Michal Oracz 10–12 Oskar Jadach Michal Oracz has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Jadach beat Oracz 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:24What took a side0 for · 6 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-12 in 22
Jadach
Correct
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1409 vs Jadach 1530
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 60% vs Jadach 100%
Jadach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 60% vs Jadach 90%
Jadach
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz +1 · Jadach +8
Jadach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.95 / Jadach 1.75
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Jadach)+3.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13163080
Oracz1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 22 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Jadach1.75
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 324 of 480
Up 2–0, closes it94% 153 of 162
Up 1–0, closes it86% 228 of 266
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOracz5wins
AwayJadach5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz100%4 of 4
AwayJadach83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz4Jadach6n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S2Oracz6Jadach4n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S3Oracz5Jadach5n = 10split evenly
S4Oracz2Jadach2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricOraczJadachO − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.035.4+0.6per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 532 vs 802 / 132061.3%60.8%326 / 532 vs 802 / 1320Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachOracz 1.95/Jadach 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 06:45M. Oracz166640O. Jadach331111113
LAug 30 · 14:45M. Oracz48910111172O. Jadach45111256113
WAug 30 · 11:05M. Oracz341111123O. Jadach2046100
LAug 23 · 11:30M. Oracz33815100O. Jadach401117123
WAug 23 · 07:10M. Oracz341111123O. Jadach2679100
WJul 12 · 13:10M. Oracz46111113113O. Jadach35851571
WJul 12 · 05:30M. Oracz401111183O. Jadach2756160
LJun 14 · 13:55M. Oracz367111081O. Jadach4211812113
WJun 14 · 07:55M. Oracz578111413113O. Jadach53119121562
LMay 31 · 16:20M. Oracz164750O. Jadach331111113
M. Oracz10
WSep 20 · 15:05M. Oracz1.501111113R. Wojcik2.407960LSep 20 · 13:55M. Oracz2.10915511102K. Slawinski1.601113119123WSep 20 · 12:45P. Mecik2.558860M. Oracz1.461111113WSep 20 · 11:55M. Oracz1.50411115113R. Adach2.3511361172LSep 20 · 10:20M. Oracz1.529690P. Mecik2.351111113WSep 20 · 09:05M. Oracz1.5011114113R. Wojcik2.40481191LSep 20 · 07:55M. Oracz2.108960K. Slawinski1.601111113LSep 20 · 06:45O. Jadach1.851111113M. Oracz1.856640WSep 20 · 05:55M. Oracz1.211111113R. Adach3.307470WSep 13 · 16:40M. Oracz1.521111113P. Slosarczyk2.376540
O. Jadach10
WSep 20 · 15:30P. Mecik2.901161051O. Jadach1.3551112113WSep 20 · 14:45O. Jadach1.201111113R. Adach3.904880WSep 20 · 13:10O. Jadach1.82661111133K. Slawinski1.88111197112WSep 20 · 12:20R. Wojcik2.95781191O. Jadach1.3611116113WSep 20 · 11:05O. Jadach1.221211113R. Adach4.0010370WSep 20 · 09:30O. Jadach1.2711126123P. Mecik2.9511011101WSep 20 · 08:20O. Jadach1.32164711113R. Wojcik2.70141111752WSep 20 · 06:45O. Jadach1.851111113M. Oracz1.856640LSep 20 · 05:30O. Jadach1.8312115862K. Slawinski1.871091111113WSep 18 · 16:20P. Slosarczyk3.3011831152O. Jadach1.21911118113
Upcoming Matches
M. Oracz
Nothing scheduled
O. Jadach
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