TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
2.55
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811611––––
Michal Oracz
Away
1.46
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:27 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
811811611––––
H2H Patryk Mecik 5–7 Michal Oracz Patryk Mecik has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Mecik beat Oracz 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (64%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Oracz
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1291 vs Oracz 1396
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 60% vs Oracz 40%
Mecik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 40% vs Oracz 60%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik +2 · Oracz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 2.55 / Oracz 1.46
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Oracz)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13163102
Mecik2.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 107 of 285
Down 0–1, comes back19% 31 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 88
Oracz1.46
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 116 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it93% 74 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it79% 95 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik4wins
AwayOracz6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik57.1%4 of 7
AwayOracz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik7Oracz3n = 10Mecik took 7 of 10
S2Mecik7Oracz3n = 10Mecik took 7 of 10
S3Mecik5Oracz5n = 10split evenly
S4Mecik3Oracz4n = 7Oracz took 4 of 7
S5Mecik0Oracz4n = 4Oracz took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikOraczM − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.639.2+0.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 828 vs 324 / 52940%61.3%331 / 828 vs 324 / 529Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczMecik 2.55/Oracz 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.8%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 10:20P. Mecik331111113M. Oracz249690
LJul 13 · 15:55P. Mecik4711981272M. Oracz496111110113
WJul 13 · 09:55P. Mecik341111123M. Oracz2789100
LJun 20 · 11:25P. Mecik4411148111M. Oracz4881611133
WOct 21 · 15:55P. Mecik331111113M. Oracz248880
LOct 21 · 09:55P. Mecik3911612372M. Oracz518111011113
LJul 7 · 14:45P. Mecik358111061M. Oracz4111712113
LJul 7 · 11:05P. Mecik4291111832M. Oracz47118611113
WApr 21 · 16:40P. Mecik43111110113M. Oracz33681271
LApr 21 · 10:40P. Mecik46811611102M. Oracz48116118123
P. Mecik10
WSep 20 · 14:20P. Mecik1.9891111113R. Wojcik1.60119891WSep 20 · 11:30P. Mecik3.251111113K. Slawinski1.309960WSep 20 · 10:20M. Oracz1.529690P. Mecik2.351111113LSep 20 · 09:30O. Jadach1.2711126123P. Mecik2.9511011101WSep 20 · 08:45P. Mecik1.6811711113R. Adach2.05611621LSep 20 · 07:10P. Mecik3.256750K. Slawinski1.301111113LSep 20 · 06:20R. Wojcik1.8011914113P. Mecik1.907111291LSep 19 · 13:55P. Mecik1.806580W. Jozala1.911111113LSep 19 · 12:40P. Mecik2.5099100P. Adamus1.501111123WSep 19 · 11:25P. Mecik2.7511711133W. Wojtaszczyk1.406117111
M. Oracz10
LSep 20 · 13:55M. Oracz2.10915511102K. Slawinski1.601113119123WSep 20 · 11:55M. Oracz1.50411115113R. Adach2.3511361172LSep 20 · 10:20M. Oracz1.529690P. Mecik2.351111113WSep 20 · 09:05M. Oracz1.5011114113R. Wojcik2.40481191LSep 20 · 07:55M. Oracz2.108960K. Slawinski1.601111113LSep 20 · 06:45O. Jadach1.851111113M. Oracz1.856640WSep 20 · 05:55M. Oracz1.211111113R. Adach3.307470WSep 13 · 16:40M. Oracz1.521111113P. Slosarczyk2.376540WSep 13 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.7571110101M. Oracz1.9011812123WSep 13 · 14:20F. Witczak1.939111111112M. Oracz1.78111387133
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