TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
1.98
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911119118119––
Rafal Wojcik
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:25 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeRafal Wojcik to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
911119118119––
H2H Patryk Mecik 1–4 Rafal Wojcik Patryk Mecik has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Wojcik beat Mecik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (55%)
Wojcik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Wojcik
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1280 vs Wojcik 1355
Wojcik
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 60% vs Wojcik 20%
Mecik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 40% vs Wojcik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -1 · Wojcik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Wojcik) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojcik form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 1.98 / Wojcik 1.60
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Wojcik)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13163091
Mecik1.98
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 107 of 285
Down 0–1, comes back19% 31 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 88
Wojcik1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 30 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMecik1wins
AwayWojcik4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderWojcik leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik0%0 of 3
AwayWojcikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik3Wojcik2n = 5Mecik took 3 of 5
S2Mecik3Wojcik2n = 5Mecik took 3 of 5
S3Mecik0Wojcik5n = 5Wojcik took 5 of 5
S4Mecik1Wojcik4n = 5Wojcik took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricMecikWojcikM − WBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.444.8−4.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikWojcikBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 829 vs 206 / 48239.9%42.7%331 / 829 vs 206 / 482Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WojcikMecik 1.98/Wojcik 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Wojcik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 20 · 06:20P. Mecik397111291R. Wojcik4511914113
WFeb 22 · 15:20P. Mecik48911611113R. Wojcik4911911992
LFeb 22 · 09:45P. Mecik391191091R. Wojcik4061112113
LMar 17 · 16:05P. Mecik4811136992R. Wojcik517111111113
LMar 17 · 10:05P. Mecik28113591R. Wojcik3961111113
P. Mecik10
LSep 20 · 12:45P. Mecik2.558860M. Oracz1.461111113WSep 20 · 11:30P. Mecik3.251111113K. Slawinski1.309960WSep 20 · 10:20M. Oracz1.529690P. Mecik2.351111113LSep 20 · 09:30O. Jadach1.2711126123P. Mecik2.9511011101WSep 20 · 08:45P. Mecik1.6811711113R. Adach2.05611621LSep 20 · 07:10P. Mecik3.256750K. Slawinski1.301111113LSep 20 · 06:20R. Wojcik1.8011914113P. Mecik1.907111291LSep 19 · 13:55P. Mecik1.806580W. Jozala1.911111113LSep 19 · 12:40P. Mecik2.5099100P. Adamus1.501111123WSep 19 · 11:25P. Mecik2.7511711133W. Wojtaszczyk1.406117111
R. Wojcik10
LSep 20 · 15:05M. Oracz1.501111113R. Wojcik2.407960WSep 20 · 13:30R. Wojcik1.408121211113R. Adach2.39111014712LSep 20 · 12:20R. Wojcik2.95781191O. Jadach1.3611116113LSep 20 · 10:40R. Wojcik2.051414861K. Slawinski1.65121611113LSep 20 · 09:05M. Oracz1.5011114113R. Wojcik2.40481191LSep 20 · 08:20O. Jadach1.32164711113R. Wojcik2.70141111752WSep 20 · 07:30R. Wojcik1.501111113R. Adach2.407540WSep 20 · 06:20R. Wojcik1.8011914113P. Mecik1.907111291WSep 19 · 17:05R. Wojcik1.77111311113P. Slosarczyk1.93715671WSep 19 · 15:30R. Wojcik1.86911811113J. Slawomir1.8311811822
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