TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13153581
Played Sep 19Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511811––––
Waldemar Jozala
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatryk Mecik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatryk Mecik above · Waldemar Jozala below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 52 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Patryk Mecik at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Mecik 4–12 Waldemar Jozala Patryk Mecik has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:43What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Mecik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-12 in 16
Jozala
Correct
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1262 vs Jozala 1217
Mecik
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 40% vs Jozala 60%
Jozala
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 30% vs Jozala 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -1 · Jozala +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mecik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mecik form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 1.80 / Jozala 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mecik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13153581
Mecik1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 32 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Jozala1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog21% won 15 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back10% 5 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik2wins
AwayJozala8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJozala leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik33.3%1 of 3
AwayJozala85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik3Jozala7n = 10Jozala took 7 of 10
S2Mecik2Jozala8n = 10Jozala took 8 of 10
S3Mecik3Jozala7n = 10Jozala took 7 of 10
S4Mecik1Jozala3n = 4Jozala took 3 of 4
S5Mecik1Jozala2n = 3Jozala took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikJozalaM − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.238.4−9.2per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikJozalaBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 823 vs 119 / 31940%37.3%329 / 823 vs 119 / 319Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MecikMecik 1.80/Jozala 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Mecik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jozala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 4 · 14:20P. Mecik2271050W. Jozala341112113
WMay 4 · 06:20P. Mecik45611116113W. Jozala4211671172
WApr 13 · 14:20P. Mecik4111116133W. Jozala409911111
LApr 13 · 06:20P. Mecik2393110W. Jozala351111133
LOct 1 · 12:45P. Mecik47117141142W. Jozala525111213113
LSep 1 · 15:05P. Mecik199640W. Jozala331111113
LSep 1 · 09:05P. Mecik4511912762W. Jozala496111011113
LJul 15 · 08:00P. Mecik174580W. Jozala331111113
LJun 26 · 06:00P. Mecik142570W. Jozala331111113
LMay 23 · 16:40P. Mecik198650W. Jozala331111113
P. Mecik10
LSep 19 · 12:40P. Mecik2.5099100P. Adamus1.501111123WSep 19 · 11:25P. Mecik2.7511711133W. Wojtaszczyk1.406117111LSep 19 · 10:10P. Polok1.289151110113P. Mecik3.50111321282WSep 19 · 09:25P. Mecik1.8351113113W. Buczynski1.831181171LSep 19 · 08:10P. Mecik2.75711471W. Wojtaszczyk1.4011711113LSep 19 · 06:30R. Szymik1.731111113P. Mecik2.006670WSep 19 · 05:40A. Szurgot3.0081070P. Mecik1.361112113LSep 19 · 04:55P. Mecik2.10411111152W. Buczynski1.67117913113LSep 19 · 03:50P. Mecik2.758520P. Polok1.401111113LSep 16 · 08:00P. Mecik2.7081190S. Szostok1.411113113
W. Jozala10
WSep 19 · 13:05P. Polok1.20119114102W. Jozala4.33411611123WSep 19 · 12:15W. Jozala2.2591111113W. Buczynski1.57113671LSep 19 · 10:35W. Jozala4.33135861W. Wojtaszczyk1.20111111113WSep 19 · 09:50P. Adamus1.20101161162W. Jozala4.33129119113LSep 17 · 20:00W. Jozala4.255640M. Koczyba1.161111113LSep 17 · 18:45W. Jozala3.308340W. Pytlas1.251111113LSep 17 · 17:35W. Jozala4.1041111692M. Tkocz1.17118911113LSep 17 · 16:25G. Jurowicz1.681111113W. Jozala2.058560LSep 17 · 15:35W. Jozala4.25461371P. Zemla1.16111111113LSep 9 · 20:20W. Jozala2.604850M. Baron1.411111113
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