TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13153484
Played Sep 19Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4111171191113511
Witold Buczynski
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:24 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeWitold Buczynski to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatryk Mecik above · Witold Buczynski below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 93 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Witold Buczynski at 56.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Mecik 28–15 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 15 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:24What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Buczynski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-15 in 43
Mecik
Wrong
gap of 13 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1272 vs Buczynski 1396
Buczynski
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 20% vs Buczynski 100%
Buczynski
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 40% vs Buczynski 80%
Buczynski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -4 · Buczynski +6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Buczynski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 2.10 / Buczynski 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Buczynski)+0.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13153484
Mecik2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 108 of 288
Down 0–1, comes back19% 31 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 90
Buczynski1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 38 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it60% 28 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik5wins
AwayBuczynski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik80%4 of 5
AwayBuczynski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S2Mecik5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S3Mecik5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S4Mecik3Buczynski2n = 5Mecik took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikBuczynskiM − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.635.5−0.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 822 vs 441 / 110840%39.8%329 / 822 vs 441 / 1108Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuczynskiMecik 2.10/Buczynski 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.3%
Buczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 13:30P. Mecik331111113W. Buczynski207760
LAug 31 · 07:30P. Mecik461398161W. Buczynski51111111183
WDec 31 · 14:30P. Mecik361411113W. Buczynski2212550
LDec 31 · 08:30P. Mecik2141160W. Buczynski351113113
LNov 28 · 13:45P. Mecik2174100W. Buczynski341111123
WNov 28 · 11:20P. Mecik351112123W. Buczynski27710100
WOct 31 · 17:20P. Mecik45571111113W. Buczynski4511116982
WOct 31 · 07:50P. Mecik3911611113W. Buczynski34811961
LOct 8 · 14:20P. Mecik43101171142W. Buczynski49128117113
LOct 8 · 06:20P. Mecik27311671W. Buczynski3811511113
P. Mecik10
WSep 19 · 05:40A. Szurgot3.0081070P. Mecik1.361112113LSep 19 · 03:50P. Mecik2.758520P. Polok1.401111113LSep 16 · 08:00P. Mecik2.7081190S. Szostok1.411113113LSep 16 · 06:45P. Mecik2.10281311112M. Paszkiewicz1.601111114133LSep 16 · 05:35P. Mecik2.559540M. Lebek1.421111113WSep 16 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.0441080P. Mecik1.641112113WSep 16 · 03:35P. Mecik1.30111011113K. Kowalski3.10812771WSep 14 · 16:40P. Mecik2.001111113M. Baron1.728990WSep 14 · 15:05Y. Fomin1.627570P. Mecik2.081111113LSep 14 · 14:20W. Tobiasz1.8191111113P. Mecik1.83118981
W. Buczynski10
WSep 19 · 03:25R. Szymik1.6111791152W. Buczynski2.20811114113WSep 17 · 17:05W. Buczynski2.091111113O. Sokolowski1.614530WSep 17 · 15:30W. Buczynski2.2211811113K. Schaniel1.54511771WSep 17 · 14:20W. Buczynski3.3011118113K. Slawinski1.27961161WSep 17 · 12:45W. Buczynski1.8481111133W. Glanowski1.801199111WSep 17 · 11:30W. Buczynski2.151111614113M. Baron1.6046111672LSep 17 · 10:20W. Glanowski1.8571111113W. Buczynski1.78115651WSep 17 · 09:30K. Schaniel1.6811811962W. Buczynski2.05511311113LSep 17 · 08:45W. Buczynski1.86811671O. Sokolowski1.8511611113WSep 17 · 07:10W. Buczynski2.16713615113M. Baron1.571111111392
Upcoming Matches
P. Mecik
W. Buczynski
Sep 19 · 07:20W. Buczynski3.00W. Wojtaszczyk1.36—Sep 19 · 08:35W. Buczynski1.17A. Szurgot4.50—Sep 19 · 09:25W. Buczynski1.83P. Mecik1.83—Sep 19 · 11:00W. Buczynski2.10P. Adamus1.67—Sep 19 · 12:15W. Buczynski1.44W. Jozala2.63—Sep 19 · 13:30W. Buczynski3.00W. Wojtaszczyk1.36—Sep 19 · 14:40W. Buczynski2.63P. Polok1.44—
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