TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13144620
Played Sep 17Finished
Witold Buczynski
Home
2.22
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115811117117––
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
1.54
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:23 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
115811117117––
H2H Witold Buczynski 22–26 Krzysztof Schaniel Witold Buczynski has won 22 of their 48 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Buczynski beat Schaniel 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:23What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Schaniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-26 in 48
Schaniel
Wrong
gap of 4 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buczynski 1377 vs Schaniel 1345
Buczynski
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buczynski 80% vs Schaniel 40%
Buczynski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buczynski 70% vs Schaniel 40%
Buczynski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buczynski +3 · Schaniel -2
Buczynski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schaniel form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuczynski 2.22 / Schaniel 1.54
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Schaniel)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13144620
Buczynski2.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 188 of 505
Down 0–1, comes back22% 67 of 300
Down 0–2, comes back5% 9 of 167
Schaniel1.54
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 202 of 343
Up 2–0, closes it89% 98 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it77% 153 of 199
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuczynski5wins
AwaySchaniel5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuczynski66.7%4 of 6
AwaySchaniel75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buczynski6Schaniel4n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S2Buczynski5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S3Buczynski7Schaniel3n = 10Buczynski took 7 of 10
S4Buczynski2Schaniel5n = 7Schaniel took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuczynskiSchanielB − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.235.20.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuczynskiSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime439 / 1114 vs 875 / 175339.4%49.9%439 / 1114 vs 875 / 1753Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielBuczynski 2.22/Schaniel 1.54
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 7 · 16:40W. Buczynski341111123K. Schaniel1835100
LAug 7 · 10:40W. Buczynski281151021K. Schaniel4281112113
LAug 3 · 09:50W. Buczynski31471191K. Schaniel4111118113
WAug 3 · 05:40W. Buczynski4011711113K. Schaniel36811981
LJul 23 · 14:40W. Buczynski355111181K. Schaniel3811313113
LJul 23 · 06:05W. Buczynski301111441K. Schaniel4491311113
WJul 19 · 14:40W. Buczynski361111143K. Schaniel2879120
LJul 19 · 06:05W. Buczynski4156111182K. Schaniel44111147113
WJul 12 · 14:20W. Buczynski44611115113K. Schaniel4211481182
WJul 12 · 08:10W. Buczynski331111113K. Schaniel198650
W. Buczynski10
WSep 17 · 17:05W. Buczynski2.091111113O. Sokolowski1.614530WSep 17 · 14:20W. Buczynski3.3011118113K. Slawinski1.27961161WSep 17 · 12:45W. Buczynski1.8481111133W. Glanowski1.801199111WSep 17 · 11:30W. Buczynski2.151111614113M. Baron1.6046111672LSep 17 · 10:20W. Glanowski1.8571111113W. Buczynski1.78115651WSep 17 · 09:30K. Schaniel1.6811811962W. Buczynski2.05511311113LSep 17 · 08:45W. Buczynski1.86811671O. Sokolowski1.8511611113WSep 17 · 07:10W. Buczynski2.16713615113M. Baron1.571111111392WSep 17 · 06:20K. Slawinski1.289890W. Buczynski3.151111113LSep 9 · 16:20S. Juzek1.881111113W. Buczynski1.822560
K. Schaniel10
WSep 17 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.232970K. Schaniel1.531111113LSep 17 · 14:45K. Schaniel1.809590O. Sokolowski1.911111113LSep 17 · 13:10K. Schaniel1.8058131342M. Baron1.8311111111113WSep 17 · 12:20K. Slawinski1.555111111112K. Schaniel2.25115139133WSep 17 · 11:05K. Schaniel1.7511115133O. Sokolowski1.893111111LSep 17 · 09:30K. Schaniel1.6811811962W. Buczynski2.05511311113LSep 17 · 08:20K. Schaniel2.25911481K. Slawinski1.5511711113LSep 17 · 06:45K. Schaniel1.57119891W. Glanowski2.1581111113WSep 17 · 05:30K. Schaniel1.801011124113M. Baron1.83126101152WSep 16 · 02:10K. Schaniel2.001111113G. Jurowicz1.735690
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