TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13144409
Played Sep 17Finished
Kacper Slawinski
Home
1.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
51111511131191113
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:23 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
51111511131191113
H2H Kacper Slawinski 12–7 Krzysztof Schaniel Krzysztof Schaniel has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Slawinski beat Schaniel 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Slawinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-7 in 19
Slawinski
Wrong
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawinski 1482 vs Schaniel 1359
Slawinski
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawinski 40% vs Schaniel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawinski 60% vs Schaniel 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawinski -1 · Schaniel +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawinski 1.55 / Schaniel 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Slawinski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13144409
Slawinski1.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 121 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it98% 56 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it82% 88 of 107
Schaniel2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 184 of 437
Down 0–1, comes back29% 68 of 237
Down 0–2, comes back11% 14 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlawinski6wins
AwaySchaniel4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawinski71.4%5 of 7
AwaySchaniel66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawinski7Schaniel3n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S2Slawinski3Schaniel7n = 10Schaniel took 7 of 10
S3Slawinski7Schaniel3n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S4Slawinski3Schaniel5n = 8Schaniel took 5 of 8
S5Slawinski3Schaniel1n = 4Slawinski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlawinskiSchanielSlawinski − SchanielBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.339.0+0.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawinskiSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime626 / 1011 vs 874 / 175061.9%49.9%626 / 1011 vs 874 / 1750Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiSlawinski 1.55/Schaniel 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WDec 25 · 14:00K. Slawinski331111113K. Schaniel258890
WDec 25 · 06:00K. Slawinski47119511113K. Schaniel4491111672
WDec 18 · 16:05K. Slawinski4371114113K. Schaniel371161281
WNov 19 · 12:05K. Slawinski341111123K. Schaniel1716100
LOct 23 · 11:30K. Slawinski37981281K. Schaniel43111110113
WOct 23 · 07:10K. Slawinski51146911113K. Schaniel48121111862
LOct 5 · 13:00K. Slawinski33117961K. Schaniel4181111113
WSep 11 · 12:20K. Slawinski47135117113K. Schaniel42111141152
LSep 11 · 08:20K. Slawinski3811311852K. Schaniel51911911113
LJul 31 · 12:45K. Slawinski30671161K. Schaniel4211119113
K. Slawinski10
WSep 17 · 13:30K. Slawinski1.371111113O. Sokolowski2.703880LSep 17 · 10:40K. Slawinski1.39181191M. Baron2.6011117113WSep 17 · 09:05W. Glanowski3.3071190K. Slawinski1.251113113WSep 17 · 08:20K. Schaniel2.25911481K. Slawinski1.5511711113LSep 17 · 07:30K. Slawinski1.4611511782O. Sokolowski2.55611211113LSep 17 · 06:20K. Slawinski1.289890W. Buczynski3.151111113WSep 15 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.009660K. Slawinski1.731111113WSep 15 · 13:30K. Hetnar2.0011711632K. Slawinski1.73311811113LSep 15 · 11:25M. Sikon3.251110119113K. Slawinski1.3391251192WSep 15 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.91761321K. Slawinski1.80111111113
K. Schaniel10
LSep 17 · 13:10K. Schaniel1.8058131342M. Baron1.8311111111113WSep 17 · 11:05K. Schaniel1.7511115133O. Sokolowski1.893111111LSep 17 · 09:30K. Schaniel1.6811811962W. Buczynski2.05511311113LSep 17 · 08:20K. Schaniel2.25911481K. Slawinski1.5511711113LSep 17 · 06:45K. Schaniel1.57119891W. Glanowski2.1581111113WSep 17 · 05:30K. Schaniel1.801011124113M. Baron1.83126101152WSep 16 · 02:10K. Schaniel2.001111113G. Jurowicz1.735690LSep 16 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.73511119113K. Schaniel2.0011781152WSep 15 · 23:45P. Adamus1.6111121110102K. Schaniel2.20414912123WSep 15 · 22:55K. Schaniel2.7571112113J. Pruszkowski1.401151071
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